by Mean Dean » Fri May 19, 2006 2:58 pm
I don't think 20 or so BS is anything unusual at all, considering that a quarter of the way through this real-life season, [url=http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/aggregate?statType=pitching&group=9&seasonType=2&type=type3&sort=blownSaves&split=0&season=2006]most teams seem to be around 4 BS[/url], which'd be a pace around 16 for an average team. Three real-life teams are on pace to have 40.
It's not like a blown save necessarily means the guy came into the 9th inning with bases empty and a lead, and then let it all slip away. It's a blown save [i:55602b7e91]any[/i:55602b7e91] time a reliever relinquishes the lead with more than 3 innings left to go. But you can still win a good percentage of such games, since there's still time left to come back. And if I'm not mistaken, it'd also be a blown save if, for instance, the starter loads the bases in the 8th inning, leaves with a 2-1 lead, and then the reliever comes in and gives up a sac fly. A sucky situation to be sure, but not really the reliever's fault either.
IMO, it's only an important stat for the closer. For non-closers, it's just the equivalent of relief losses, which you obviously don't love to see, but it doesn't have the same "this guy singlehandedly lost a game for you" effect that the term "blown save" suggests. You're not gonna maintain the lead every single time you get one; no one's bullpen is [i:55602b7e91]that[/i:55602b7e91] good. And it may not even be the reliever's fault, if the starter left him a mess.