by Paul5757 » Fri May 26, 2006 1:09 pm
Just for a hoot, I counted the safe chances for Guerrero's second-worst year vs. Ready's best year. Ready came out a mere fraction ahead. But Guerrero would still have substantially more homer chances in County. You might want to run similar comparisons with Ready's other decent years vs. Guerrero's worst year.
Although this might imply that you have Guerrero's worst year, I wouldn't run off and go cut Guerrero. HAL has been known to make some very strange decisions. (Personally, I'd use it as a factor to determine whether to cut Guerrero, more as a tiebreaker if I'm trying to make up my mind, but I definitely would not use it as the sole factor. And I'd definitely give him some ABs to draw a better conclusion.)
And, on a slightly off-topic rant, we don't know HAL's logic. Strat should make that transparent, but it seems that Strat guards its cards/programming like they were worth more than the Hope Diamond. There's no reason that, along with more HAL transparency, the average player should be able to tweak that logic to concentrate on HR chances, on base chances, etc., when choosing a PH or reliever, in any given situation. But that will never happen.