J-Pav,
I agree with pretty much everything you said in the last post. Glad to see we reach some consensus 8) (oh! and sorry for the confusion between the threads, I was confused myself).
One thing I wanted to add...this is perhaps obvious for you, but I'll make the clarafication nonetheless. When you say that the variation is approximatively +/- 8 wins, this might be the variation for any single season, but it is greatly reduced once you start accumulating the season.
As for your frustrated season (being that you finish first in scoring and third in pitching, with a .500 team), I noticed that strat is way different than real-life baseball with RS/RA. In Strat, but not in real-life, a lot of teams go with restricted bullpen such as they often stucked with a reliever who is extremely tired (first difference). Also, Hal has logic that is absent in MLB, which is to leave a reliever on the mound when nobody else is available ( not available because of restrictions set by the player or by SOM) up until the reliever allows his 10th run (second difference). In MLB, teams usually go with deep bullpen, and they usually remove a pitcher well before his 10th earned runs.
If you have a lot of wins in such situations, and if you avoid losing this way, then obviously, your run production will not be representative of the true value of your offense.
And I definitively that the discussion has been fun.