NLD 34 - Here we go again

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Semper Gumby

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Re: NLD 34 - Here we go again

PostMon Dec 09, 2013 10:53 am

BigM

You best buy stock in my team since I represent 25% of your wins. :shock:
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Corky

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Re: NLD 34 - Here we go again

PostMon Dec 09, 2013 1:54 pm

Joe we'll have to agree to disagree I guess. Again I never said always. The first place teams combined record in 1 runners is 48-34 and the last place teams are 44-61, i'll leave it at that.

And jeez, I usually don't disagree with you this much but I guess thats what makes these boards and this league all that much more fun. You have only 3 guys with a left handed balance that cost a COMBINED total of $3.34 mil, I'm not sure you can expect more than your .242 BA and .307 OB% against LHP in a league like this with that.
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Corky

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Re: NLD 34 - Here we go again

PostMon Dec 09, 2013 1:57 pm

Semper Gumby wrote:BigM

You best buy stock in my team since I represent 25% of your wins. :shock:


Something tells me math wasn't one of your strongest subjects. :mrgreen:
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bigmahon

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Re: NLD 34 - Here we go again

PostMon Dec 09, 2013 2:01 pm

Semper Gumby wrote:BigM

You best buy stock in my team since I represent 25% of your wins. :shock:


Sorry Semper! :mrgreen:
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bigmahon

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Re: NLD 34 - Here we go again

PostMon Dec 09, 2013 2:06 pm

Corky wrote:
Semper Gumby wrote:BigM

You best buy stock in my team since I represent 25% of your wins. :shock:


Something tells me math wasn't one of your strongest subjects. :mrgreen:


Corky, Semper's in China. 9 actually IS 25% OF 48 in China. :lol:
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Corky

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Re: NLD 34 - Here we go again

PostMon Dec 09, 2013 2:08 pm

bigmahon wrote:
Corky wrote:
Semper Gumby wrote:BigM

You best buy stock in my team since I represent 25% of your wins. :shock:


Something tells me math wasn't one of your strongest subjects. :mrgreen:


Corky, Semper's in China. 9 actually IS 25% OF 48 in China. :lol:



:lol:
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Stoney18

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Re: NLD 34 - Here we go again

PostMon Dec 09, 2013 5:48 pm

Sometimes is the moves you don't make that pay off.

Replacing Leclure (7.06 era, 1.78 whip) and Villareal (4.60 era, 1.62 whip) with Kontos - 2.22 era and .99 whip in the 18 games since I picked him up was a good move.

At the same time I was thinking of dropping Tulowitski and using Escobar full time at SS. If I could have found a better RP I liked I probably would have done that. Instead,

Tulo has hit .409 with 11 home runs in those 18 games and the Phanatics have gone 13-5.

Now if I can only inspire Willingham.....
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Semper Gumby

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Re: NLD 34 - Here we go again

PostMon Dec 09, 2013 10:02 pm

bigmahon wrote:
Corky wrote:
Semper Gumby wrote:BigM

You best buy stock in my team since I represent 25% of your wins. :shock:


Something tells me math wasn't one of your strongest subjects. :mrgreen:


Corky, Semper's in China. 9 actually IS 25% OF 48 in China. :lol:


In China, 9 wins out of 48 would be a lucky sign. You'll need more teams like mine to make for a lucky year. ;)
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joethejet

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Re: NLD 34 - Here we go again

PostTue Dec 10, 2013 1:39 am

Corky wrote:Joe we'll have to agree to disagree I guess. Again I never said always. The first place teams combined record in 1 runners is 48-34 and the last place teams are 44-61, i'll leave it at that.

And jeez, I usually don't disagree with you this much but I guess thats what makes these boards and this league all that much more fun. You have only 3 guys with a left handed balance that cost a COMBINED total of $3.34 mil, I'm not sure you can expect more than your .242 BA and .307 OB% against LHP in a league like this with that.



Corky, it's all good. I'm not taking anything personal and hope you aren't either. As for the one runners, obviously there is a "correlation isn't causation" issue here (or something) teams with better records *will* sometimes have better records *because* of their one run record. A couple things I will leave you with. I've played the board game FTF for over 35 years and I've seen a LOT of one run games. I can tell you they often come down to the timing of your breaks, not whether you get a break, but whether it's a break that matters or not. Just this season I played a game where Zimmerman made three errors and gave up a hit on the X-Chart and I scored nary a run from those breaks. Timing is everything in a dice game. And, secondly, according to Bill James, one of the biggest indicators of a team in MLB that a team will have a worse record the next season is their record in one run games. The farther you get from .500 the more likely you will go down (or up) the next season. I'd say there's some luck there. In any case, whether it's luck or not, I can tell you for sure that variations from the ratings correlate very highly to one run records. Finally, isn't that sort of the whole logic behind the Pythag W/L ratings?

As for my O v LHP, you have to look at more than just salary.

Montero has a 415/387/534 slash (all divided by 108) v LHP,
Vicidedo is 450/367/699,
Nunez is 430/347/466

In an AD team that just finished I had Montero go .344/.359/.443 and Nunez .296/.346/.387
In NLD32 Nunez went .345/.406/.494 for DJ and Montero went .311/.352/.427 for Keyzick, Viciedo went .395/.465/.737 for AT.
in NLD33 Viciedo went .315/.372/.420 for Hawk

That's the platoon guys. Then you have Rios (card: 321/302/551) who has done almost nothing and certainly hasn't hit for power, and Pagan (Card: 300/253/384) who isn't going to be great, but I think is better than .177/.240/.208

Upon further review of Hill, he's actually pretty close to what you would expect.

It's been some hard times for those guys do you really think, given those cards, you'd expect the across the board suckage I've seen? Again, any one (or two) of those numbers could be expected, but for six guys to blow chunks is sort of unexpected most of the time.

Clearly we suck having lost another 8 in a row. :evil: :evil: :evil: :roll: :roll: Admitedly losing Pierre for 15 has hurt our rating. McDonald is a big drop but this is ridiculous. Leaving 10 on base a game doesn't help either. :( :cry:
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bigmahon

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Re: NLD 34 - Here we go again

PostTue Dec 10, 2013 9:31 am

Semper Gumby wrote: In China, 9 wins out of 48 would be a lucky sign. You'll need more teams like mine to make for a lucky year. ;)


No, I'm out of it. But I'll settle for beating the heck out of your team the rest of the season! :lol:
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