milleram wrote:I kind of see how that makes some sense.
For curiosities sake, I took a quick survey of the Starting pitchers fielding for the same three teams---which is two thirds of the fielding chances I estimate (my SP have 68% of my innings so far)
For the 5 SP on each team.
KLX averages a 2.3 fielding rating with an e7.6
Miller............ 2.4 fielding rating with an e6.8
JTJ.............. 3.0 fielding rating with an e15.0
With the caveat the I didn't look at RP fielding at all and pitchers are only 2 of 30 Chances anyway, so it means nothing--just an observation. Personally, I think high WP and Balk ratings are worse than fielding for pitchers and my team sucks at that.
I know you and I are playing 2s at 2B and SS where KLX is playing 3s, but both you and I have 92 DP on GB and KLX has 100 on GB (114 games in). Of course, KLX gives up a lot more baserunners, so it makes sense he turns more DP--he scores a lot more runs too in that park. KLX and JTJ are almost dead equal on X-outs vs X-chances too
Luck has to be a larger factor than most would think--especially in a serpentine draft league...Unless you pick a bad park for the league--then you are usually doomed.
Hard to know why KLX turns more DP, but the XChart info like you point out is bad luck because his D is TERRIBLE.
Luck? Yeah, we've been super unlucky.
- 7 of our last 9 losses have been by 3 runs or less including 3 more one runners (we're 15-21 and 1-8 in extras)
- We've won 3 over that time span by a collective 29-10 run diff. I guess one of those *was* by one run so there's that.
- Our pythag puts us at .500, but we're 13 under.
- You point out our Xchart luck (all bad)
- Still haven't made up any ground on the bphrs. Went 0-3 in 1-8 bphrs last night and lost a game because he got a 1-5 2 run shot. If we were hitting them at the same rate as our opponents we'd have 13 more HRs. How many more wins would that be? Quite a few if you ask me.
- We have three pitchers who's ERA are over 6 and are priced at 3.18 or more including Mldozinski who is actually pretty good.
- NOt sure we have a single pitcher that's over performed. Strider and Shaw have been at least close. Oh, maybe Detmers is better than expected, but across the board the pitching has been awful. Of course, part of that is the terrible xchart luck.
- We've lost two RPs to injuries, Diekman for 15 and Brozoban for 8. At least the latter isn't a key part of the pen.
- Offensively, if we had normal luck on bphrs we'd probably be in good shape, but...
It is what it is, it's a dice game.