coolhandlewke wrote:nothing is ever sure, but runners are supposed to follow the unwritten rule unless they are VERY confident. as far as the lead runner thing it does happen, but I'm seeing it happen in strat more than it should. not sailing the ball over the cutoff man (ala puig) allows them to challenge the lead runner while still keeping the batter at 1st. i'll have to start tracking it this year while watching my dodgers to see how close it really is.
Even real runners don't follow "unwritten rules" all the time, so you certainly can't expect the logorithm-driven runners of SOM to do so. The outfielders decisions are logorithm-driven as well. Since a MLB manager can't make sure his outfielder tries to nail the 'correct baserunner"--Pagan makes that mistake as well--a SOM manager can't expect his outfielders to always make the right decision either.
I don't want to be blunt, but you're trying to hold SOM to too high a standard of efficiency. MLB players make mistakes; SOM players make even more of them, while still performing pretty efficiently. That's the nature of the game