Sample size and Strat success
Posted: Tue Feb 03, 2015 2:30 pm
Hi all,
Say there is a hitter who played in 50 games in 2013 and hit .375 with 15 Hr. He has an injury rating of 1.
Does the computer take the small sample size into account? i.e., if you buy him, say he costs $750,000, and play him every day:
A. will the computer tend to ignore the injury rating and see to it that he misses a lot of games; and,
B. if the computer works with the 1 injury rating, so that he gives you, say, 600 ABs, is he likely to hit for a good average and a lot of power, or is he likely to produce numbers much lower than his actual 2013 results would indicate that he might, all other things being equal?
Any thoughts?
Thanks,
Ed
Say there is a hitter who played in 50 games in 2013 and hit .375 with 15 Hr. He has an injury rating of 1.
Does the computer take the small sample size into account? i.e., if you buy him, say he costs $750,000, and play him every day:
A. will the computer tend to ignore the injury rating and see to it that he misses a lot of games; and,
B. if the computer works with the 1 injury rating, so that he gives you, say, 600 ABs, is he likely to hit for a good average and a lot of power, or is he likely to produce numbers much lower than his actual 2013 results would indicate that he might, all other things being equal?
Any thoughts?
Thanks,
Ed