Strat-O-Matic Baseball 365

In 2018 Matt Chapman led MLB in Defensive WAR, by a lot. He was excellent offensively too, but not epic. He finished tied for 14th in Offensive WAR. As a result, his overall WAR was good for 7th in MLB.

I'm thinking that it will be impossible for him to be that valuable in Strat, because the game engine just won't allow him to generate that value in the field at 3B. He'll be a 1 for sure, and maybe e22 or so, which will be excellent, but not epic. A full time third baseman will have maybe 80-90 gb X chances over the course of an entire season, and he'll create what, 10-15 more outs than an absolutely average 3B? I haven't looked at all the other third basemen, but a quick comparison to a few shows he may have generated about 100 more "chances" at third than did the average third baseman, and converted nearly all of them to outs. No way that gets captured in Strat.

check a few past glove men last year and see. Arenado was a 1e10 last year,....
One issue I see with defense is the increase in Ks leads to fewer balls in play thus negating the plus of a good defensive team

the ghost of roger maris wrote:check a few past glove men last year and see. Arenado was a 1e10 last year,....
One issue I see with defense is the increase in Ks leads to fewer balls in play thus negating the plus of a good defensive team

Well, not in SOM, the X chances are fixed no matter how many K's are generated in real life.

Chapman is a 1e23 for 2018.

lpezzeme wrote:Chapman is a 1e23 for 2018.

I was almost spot on with my guess on the e rating. No way he comes anywhere close to his 2018 value in Strat. They would need to invoke a special rule, where he makes x plays the shortstop misses!

ggyuppie wrote:

lpezzeme wrote:Chapman is a 1e23 for 2018.

I was almost spot on with my guess on the e rating. No way he comes anywhere close to his 2018 value in Strat. They would need to invoke a special rule, where he makes x plays the shortstop misses!

This would be far more true for Andrelton Simmons. Chapman,while excellent, is still no Arenado.

STEVE F wrote:

ggyuppie wrote:

lpezzeme wrote:Chapman is a 1e23 for 2018.

I was almost spot on with my guess on the e rating. No way he comes anywhere close to his 2018 value in Strat. They would need to invoke a special rule, where he makes x plays the shortstop misses!

This would be far more true for Andrelton Simmons. Chapman,while excellent, is still no Arenado.

I know defensive range is at least somewhat subjective, but last season Chapman's "Range Factor", (which is assists plus putouts per 9 innings played) was higher than Arenado, 3.28 to 2.82. That's 16% higher. Nolan's score on this stat was comparable to Chapman's 2018 defensive production from '13-'15, but it's dropped off since then. Other top 3B's in 2018? Turner, 2.97. Rendon, 2.35. Jose Ramirez, 2.22. Moustakas, 2.49. Suarez, 2.54. Bregman, 2.52. Shaw, 2.43. So, on average, Chapman put a stamp on almost one more out, per game, than all the others. And with only one x chance every two games, and (not sure about this with SA defensive charts) about half of those testing error rate and not range, the game just won't create that effect.