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SENIOR PLAYERS. EXPLAIN THIS.
Posted:
Sat Dec 12, 2020 6:31 pm
by danno
There are a handful of players here who routinely win with the most improbable teams. It's obvious that they know something that the rest of us don't know. They are the cream of the SOM 365 crop. So, let's have them explain the following (The following comes from an actual SOM 365 Baseball 2019 record of ten separate leagues all playing at the same time and all using the same user name):
Play Day #3: All ten teams L2 and W1.
Play Day #6: All ten teams L2 and W1.
Play Day #9: All ten teams L2 and W1.
The pattern continues for several weeks on occasion varying from three days to four days between the same L2/W1 for ALL ten leagues / teams on any given play day.
Can you SOM365 brain surgeons explain the mathematical probability of this happening? Mind you, it is near impossible for one strand / day of all ten teams by the same user name having the same record much least these things happening week after week. I am curious to hear your expert opinion.
Prediction: 1. Stupid asinine responses. 2. No response because they have been caught not knowing WTF they are talking about.
Dan
Re: SENIOR PLAYERS. EXPLAIN THIS.
Posted:
Sat Dec 12, 2020 7:26 pm
by Psfrmoz
its funny that you posted this...i posted under another thread.
4 of my teams, last 21 games
All 8-13 record...very interesting
Re: SENIOR PLAYERS. EXPLAIN THIS.
Posted:
Sat Dec 12, 2020 8:20 pm
by toshiro
Quit
Re: SENIOR PLAYERS. EXPLAIN THIS.
Posted:
Sat Dec 12, 2020 9:19 pm
by honestiago
Post the actual data. Because your word on this is sh*t, Danno.
Re: SENIOR PLAYERS. EXPLAIN THIS.
Posted:
Sat Dec 12, 2020 10:45 pm
by jcheney2013
honestiago wrote:Post the actual data. Because your word on this is sh*t, Danno.
Show us the leagues!!! So far the only "patterns" I see are 0-3s on your part. Please show the leagues you claim have been fixed, now hacked.
Re: SENIOR PLAYERS. EXPLAIN THIS.
Posted:
Sat Dec 12, 2020 11:14 pm
by paul8210
Let's assume that games with the same userid running 10 times in one evening causes a system crash. Maybe something shuts down because the manager history file gets corrupted because it assumed a max limit of userid events. Let's assume the system doesn't want to restore from a backup because all the other games for the league completed successfully. Faced with a corrupt file the application tries to salvage what it can. It knows a clean result under the userid did occur so it does a rerun nine times but the logic gets confused because it thinks the objective is to replicate the clean result nine times instead of treating things as nine separate events. It can't replicate the results of the clean file exactly. but, it knows at the time of the corrupted files the team won once and lost twice. The system keeps doing a rerun until it gets a loss/win result of the three-game series that agrees with an audit file that survived the system crash. The system thinks it has done the right thing in recovering from the corrupted league results, but,in fact, it did the right thing once and the wrong thing nine times.
But, I could be wrong.
Re: SENIOR PLAYERS. EXPLAIN THIS.
Posted:
Sat Dec 12, 2020 11:44 pm
by freeman
My response: I dont believe you, Dan. You made it up. Prove me wrong.
Re: SENIOR PLAYERS. EXPLAIN THIS.
Posted:
Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:19 pm
by sganser
Hi Danno,
Did you know that in pi there is a string of a quadrillion zeros in a row? What are the odds?
Amazingly enough, this happens a trillion times.
Same for all the other digits.
That's infinity for you.
BTW, from my 8th grade math book:
6, 24, 60, 120, 210, ?, ?
What are the next two numbers?
Have fun,
Steve
Re: SENIOR PLAYERS. EXPLAIN THIS.
Posted:
Wed Dec 16, 2020 9:27 pm
by freeman
The series is x3-x starting with 2. 73-7=336. 83-8=504
Re: SENIOR PLAYERS. EXPLAIN THIS.
Posted:
Thu Dec 17, 2020 1:40 pm
by sganser
Nice, Freeman. I had it as
2 * (x + 2) * (Sum from 1 to x) where x starts at 1.
2 * (3) * (1) = 6
2 * (4) * (3) = 24
2 * (5) * (6) = 60
etc.
Same result, different formula?
x^3 -x, where x is 2 = (n + 1)^3 - (n + 1) = (n^3 + 3n^2 + 3n^ + 1) - (n + 1) = n^3 + 3n^2 + 2n, where n starts at 1
n^3 + 3n^2 + 2n = (2n + 4) * (Sum from 1 to n) = (n^3 + 3n^2 + 2n) / (2n + 4) = Sum from 1 to n
..................n^2/2 + n/2 =====================> (n^2 + n)/2 = Sum from 1 to n
........._______________
2n + 4 | n^3 + 3n^2 + 2n
.......... n^3 + 2n^2
.......... --------------
....................n^2 + 2n
....................n^2 + 2n
.................. ------------
Ergo, SOM is picking winners and losers, even though they have no motivation to do so and it would be a lot harder to code than just presenting the product they say they are presenting.