Wed Feb 26, 2025 3:10 pm
I agree with ninersphan that is the only logic that seems likely...but
He has a better chance to get picked off than stealing 2nd, so why hold him???
1/36 to steal (.0277...) ... 1/20 x.7 to get picked off (.035). The 6 in the stealing rating of 20/6 is the odds he gets back on a pickoff attempt. That doesn't even count the odds of him getting thrown out if he does get the lead assuming the pitcher and catcher have good hold ratings.
Since he should never have been held, especially when those early runs in the inning are not relevant in that situation, the 1 rated 2B should not have given up a single---anyway you look at it... it is ridiculously bad managing by HAL.