100 Wins and 450 Steals

http://onlinegames.strat-o-matic.com/team/804680

Did Andrus run EVERY time he got on base?

funny thing is i had a number of the faster guys set to "steal more", but Andrus wa not one of them.

I noticed that even Pujols had 12 steals, with only 6 CS!!!

He must have been the second steal on a few double steals!!!



Very interesting results. It's always interesting to see how stolen bases correlate with wins. Great team!!! I also love the team name - "Glen Head Zulu Warriors" - Glen Head NY! lol!

If NERP held approximately true here, you produced an estimated 34 runs from your sb minus cs activities--about 26 more than an average major league team in a season. That's 2.5 to 3 wins above normal from the SB's alone--let alone the impact of all that speed in base-running situations.

It's too bad that the stealing logic isn't smarter so that the success rates of 3rd and home are a bit closer to 2nd.

Stealing 2nd (511 attempts): 77.3%
Stealing 3rd (103 attempts): 53.4%
Stealing Home (13 attempts): 46.2%

Jerry, did you always have stealing set to "very aggressive", or would it change based on opponents?

It was always on "very agressive" and always on "steal more" for all runners with a 19 lead rating at the front end.

If you're waiting for a 77% chance to steal home, you'll never steal home in your life. It's a straight -9 off the second number (pitcher's hold and catcher's arm don't enter into it), and you rarely see a second number higher than 15, so you'll hardly ever see a chance better than 30%.

46.2% on steals of home is honestly rather astonishing, and I bet represents a lot of lucky rolls I'd sure as hell take that success rate, at least if the attempts were with two outs, or maybe one out and the #8 hitter up in a non-DH.

The most improbable stat is Farnsworth 42 saves only 9 blown

Hey DJ,

You interested in another NLD???