Re: 100 Wins and 450 Steals
Posted: Mon Sep 17, 2012 3:40 pm
that's an awesome team. Nice job Durant. Those games must have been fun to watch play out.
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Mean Dean wrote:If you're waiting for a 77% chance to steal home, you'll never steal home in your life. It's a straight -9 off the second number (pitcher's hold and catcher's arm don't enter into it), and you rarely see a second number higher than 15, so you'll hardly ever see a chance better than 30%.
46.2% on steals of home is honestly rather astonishing, and I bet represents a lot of lucky rolls I'd sure as hell take that success rate, at least if the attempts were with two outs, or maybe one out and the #8 hitter up in a non-DH.
Mean Dean wrote:Yeah, especially since the PC game lets you set the minimum success rate at which you want to steal, it'd make more sense if "aggressive" meant to steal more often at a given success rate, rather than to steal at a lower success rate. I'm still not sure that it doesn't mean that. It actually wouldn't be difficult to discover... just sim a whole bunch of seasons on the various settings. I should do it.
The PC game doesn't let you distinguish strategies for stealing 2nd/3rd/home. That would be a pretty logical addition.
The most improbable stat is Farnsworth 42 saves only 9 blown
durantjerry wrote:You interested in another NLD???
Sure