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Do you Disrupt a 21-9 Team?

PostPosted: Thu Apr 18, 2013 11:48 am
by BlackFinn
This team is playing real well right now. However, the only 3 column hitter that gets any at bats is Nieves. Would you drop Frazier for Morse and Ciriaco, and maybe Ellsbury for McClouth?

http://onlinegames.strat-o-matic.com/team/1024798

Re: Do you Disrupt a 21-9 Team?

PostPosted: Thu Apr 18, 2013 12:20 pm
by geekor
why would what column the hits are in matter? a roll of 1-6 is still a roll of 1-6, all columns have the same chances

Re: Do you Disrupt a 21-9 Team?

PostPosted: Thu Apr 18, 2013 12:44 pm
by Badjam
If your goal is to win games, then don't weaken your team by taking the drop penalty % hit. If your goal is to have all three hitters columns covered for some reason and don't care about your win loss record, then go ahead and dismantle the strong team you put together. In my 300+ teams, I have never even thought of looking at hitters better columns because the odds of rolling a one, two or three are the same no matter what the previous hitters in your lineup rolled.

Re: Do you Disrupt a 21-9 Team?

PostPosted: Thu Apr 18, 2013 12:51 pm
by BlackFinn
I'm thinking that evening out what columns the hits are in gives you a better chance of getting hits in games where 11 out of thirteen rolls are 3's (this happened recently). Does anyone think what column the hits are in makes a difference?

Thanks for the replies this is why I was asking.

Re: Do you Disrupt a 21-9 Team?

PostPosted: Thu Apr 18, 2013 1:14 pm
by STEVE F
mathematically it makes no difference. Numbers will tend to bunch within any random pattern, but in the long run the percentages are what they are...if that makes any sense :)

Re: Do you Disrupt a 21-9 Team?

PostPosted: Thu Apr 18, 2013 3:42 pm
by bertolett
You can just count the hit/walk opportunities on each side:

1 or 12=1
3 or 11 =2
4 or 10=3
5 or 9=4
6 or 8=5
7 = 6

108 chances for 3 columns.

Doesn't matter where they are.

Re: Do you Disrupt a 21-9 Team?

PostPosted: Thu Apr 18, 2013 6:10 pm
by BlackFinn
OK thanks for the replies.

Re: Do you Disrupt a 21-9 Team?

PostPosted: Fri Apr 19, 2013 12:00 am
by Michael Grammes
For me, it's a matter of personal preference, I like hits in the two column, and for pitchers, the complete opposite, 1s or 3s for them.

Just Superstitious I guess lol

Re: Do you Disrupt a 21-9 Team?

PostPosted: Sun Apr 21, 2013 2:02 pm
by Radagast Brown
I have seen this discussion before and it always makes me laugh. I think some of the old school card and dice players are big on which guys have 1,2, or 3 as their good column. It makes no difference mathematically.