Fri Feb 09, 2024 4:42 pm
I set my lineups at the start of the season based on a careful probability evaluation and personal lineup philosophy. Sometimes, I look at the numbers at midseason, and if someone is totally outperforming or underperforming expectations, I may move them once and then let it ride.
I'll never forget Jason Bartlett's 2009 ss card. He had an outlier season for sure, and it was a good card. But it didn't scream RUN PRODUCER; 14 homers that year. He was hitting well over .300 and was my best hitter at the break. It was odd but I realized he did his numbers in a pitcher's park, and I had a pitcher's park, and he was just a damn good hitter. Didn't need HR. So I put him at cleanup, which felt like madness, and we went on to win the league. He would just rope singles and doubles every time he came up with guys on.
BTW my basic lineup philosophy is:
1. Best low power OBP
2. Best non-clutch hitter, irrespective of power
3. Best remaining hitter with power
4. Best Power
5. Best clutch hitter irrespective of power
6. Best remaining power
7. doesn't matter
8. doesn't matter
9. Best basestealer after the 6th spot