Tie breaker question

I am in a league with three games to go. I have a three game lead, but could wind up tied for first with a team that I have a 12-12 record with.

The next tie breaker would be "run differential."

Question: does this refer to the run differential between us or the league wide plus or minus as indicated in the standings?

Please let me know soonest!

Artie

Run differential is also the 2nd tiebreaker for a three-way tie, so, by that reasoning, it would have to be run differential across the whole league

Also note that it is not simply you have a +30 and Doug has a +22 means you win. For example if you scored 970 to your opponents 940 and Doug scored 522 to his opponents 500.........he would win. I believe it goes off the expected W/L but am sure to some degree the ratios play a role. Explained badly in part because I am aware of the generalities but short on specifics.

Hey Rick,

In the head-to-head analysis, Doug has outscored me by ONE run, and I'd better damn well win ONE game tonight. I can't count on HIM losing.

But if the run-differential is the league-wide one I have a hard time imagining that it would be anything besides the raw run differential that is listed in the standings. And while I have a 19 pt. lead on Doug, that could amount to zip if it IS the personal head-to-head.

Any other weigh ins on this?

(Thanks in advance, guys.)

Artie

Thanks Andy. I didn't notice that!

From the rules:

- What happens in the event of a tie for a Division Winner, Wild Card spot, or home-field advantage?

Tiebreakers for a 2-way tie are, in order:
- Head-to-head record
- Run differential
- Coin flip
Tiebreakers for a 3-way tie are, in order:
- Best record vs. teams within division
- Run differential
- Coin flip

I see no reference to expected winning percentage. And given that is a flawed calculation would not be thrilled to find out it is used.