Fascinating Stats

Zing!

. You seem obsessed that the game is screwing you over in an unknown way and you are going to prove it.

First in this particular thread I asked a series of questions seeking answers...not trying to prove anything...


BUT MOST IMPORTANTLY the point mostly everyone here misses...is I'm not trying to prove that the game is screwing ME over in an unknown way...BUT ALL OF US!!!!!


WE ALL PUT OUR MONEY UP and then just freaking guess about how the results get to be the results...because FOR BETTER OR WORSE...and even if 99.9% of the black box stuff make it BETTER...It's still the like our government and the X-FILES HERE!

BUT MOST IMPORTANTLY the point mostly everyone here misses...is I'm not trying to prove that the game is screwing ME over in an unknown way...BUT ALL OF US!!!!!

and this is essentially why Nev and I agree on most things.

ITS ABOUT ALL OF US-- no one wants this info to be secret-- its for EVERYBODY!

Never a dull moment in the SOM forums.

I joined this league not really thinking about how significant controlling a key variable like the ballpark could be. Now I'm afraid I'll be spending way too much time digging into the details. IMO the potential rosetta stone lies in the actual rolls, which I believe someone mentioned already. We should be able to plot all the rolls (sweet jesus) and point to any aberrations in the data. BUT, as in all good data analysis you have to ask the question, is the data set big enough to be statistically relevant? So will 6,000 or so rolls per team x 12 = 72,000 rolls be large enough to smooth out the randomness? I'm not sure.

I liken it to when I used to play golf in a club with real handicaps. Our handicap chairman would monitor scoring abnormalities during tournaments, you know when it counted, to see who was sandbagging. Since a 15 handicap really shouldn't be able to shoot two or more scores in 70's over the course of 20 rounds.

I'm generalizing but you get my point. So we 'should' be able to see where the blips of inconsistencies are across those 72,000 rolls.

What I want to know right now is how the heck is Frank Thompson batting .359 at home and .172 away! LOL Now that's a home field advantage!!

R

Rosie--

If someone wants to undertake plotting 72K rolls, analyzing the data and sharing with everyone what the results are,
then by all means, they should do it.

Alternatively, the company can come forward and just tell us which modifiers to the dice rolls are actually in effect.

Id vastly prefer the second option because:

a) some people will still deny
b) especially with that huge data set, it will be almost impossible to figure out exactly how to separate out the multiple modifier that are in effect.
c) your frank thompson example being an obvious example of how it will be difficult to figure, b/c thats very unlikely to be a single modifier.