egvrich wrote:djmacb wrote:I’ll answer your question with a question - do you think there was any good luck involved in Pedro going 28-3 through 121 games? Why should good outcomes be expected to continue indefinitely, while bad outcomes are immediately attributed to black boxes?
It's a 60 mill league, Pedro's salary is probably double that of any other pitcher in the league, so while 28-3 was as I believe I said, amazing, and if I didn't I said it now. Why would he suddenly become so average???
I'm just asking the question because he was on pace for the single best season I have ever seen from a pitcher after 31 starts and then suddenly, he became just another guy.
Of the 10 games he pitched he gave up 2 or less runs in 7 of those 10 outings. In his first 13 starts he threw 7 shutouts and 5 one run games, include a few relief efforts, I assume you thought those should continue for a 0.44 ERA? He also had a a run of 16 of 18 games going 9 innings while being a S7, pitching 100 more innings than his card while having a lower ERA by 1/2 run while having the same WHIP. I guess these ATG players aren't quite as good as the average National Leaguer in 1997.
Let's look at some details game 149 one of the 3 where he gave up more than 2 runs. He had a 5-0 lead after 7 innings but he was forced to pitch to 8 hitters after reaching his point of exhaustion, giving up 7 runs when up by 5 because he is marked do not remove before F0 most likely. Also lost a game down 2-0 when a team started with three hits off of the hitters card scoring 2 runs while your team did not score and got pulled for a pinch hitter and didn't get in the 7th.
I suppose you were looking for more like game 29 complete game shutout; game 31 2 innings shutout relief ball; game 33 9 inning complete game shutout for 3 wins picked up in 5 games. Should have been able to get 81 wins for him at that pace if not for the evil normilazation. Mind you this was a week after doing nearly the same thing a week before. In a 20 game stretch he won 9 games. Damn Normilazation.