question I believe I know the answer to

Correct me if I'm wrong: it's reasonable to expect the ratio of ballpark singles and home runs to be relatively equal between your team and your opponents teams since all games are played in the same ballparks (IE whether the game is at Polo Grounds or Braves Field '38). I am in a bad stretch of seasons where my ratios are far worse for my offense than my pitching, and just want to be sure I can chalk this up to bad luck, and not some other error I am making that I am not aware of.

Not at all let's say you have an all-lefty team at sportsman and are in a division with some small ball teams with a preponderance of righties. Over the season you should have a much higher pct of bp hr's then your opps.

Not at all let's say you have an all-lefty team at sportsman and are in a division with some small ball teams with a preponderance of righties. Over the season you should have a much higher pct of bp hr's then your opps.

I don't mean volume of ballpark HR's or singles, I mean ratio. I properly built team should have more opportunities, but since we are all playing in the same ballparks, shouldn't the ratios align?

IE even if my opponent had 48 Ballpark HR opportunities, and i only had 24. If the opponent had a 50% success rate and mine was only 20%, isn't that just bad luck?

The players with extreme lefty of righty parks and lineups will have better ratio

The players with extreme lefty of righty parks and lineups will have better ratio

Thanks. Sorry, not trying to be willfully obtuse:).

Isn't the ratio driven by the ballpark? IE You get a ballpark home run, and say it's a ballpark with home run 1-8, flyout 9-20. Then in theory a 20 sided dice is rolled (or simulated in this case) to determine whether it's a home run or flyout correct? So I am not talking about the ratio of times a player gets a ballpark home run opportunity (yes, lineups are built around maximizing this), I am talking about the number of times it results in a home run and not a fly out. As far as I understand, that is driven by the simulation of the 20 sided dice result, correct?

Not necessarily because BP HR chances are recorded for "W" batters even though they can't hit homers off the pitchers card. If you have a lot of "W" hitters, then your ratio should, on average, be lower than opponents who have all "N" batters - like bomber teams will.

Not necessarily because BP HR chances are recorded for "W" batters even though they can't hit homers off the pitchers card. If you have a lot of "W" hitters, then your ratio should, on average, be lower than opponents who have all "N" batters - like bomber teams will.

That could be part of it. I guess I had assumed the W’s would end up in the ballpark single category, but sounds like maybe not.

Also, there are many pitcher cards that do not have any BP singles on them (usually for 1 side).
an example being Billy Wagner (no BP singles on either side of his card)

https://365.strat-o-matic.com/player/10 ... 292/460527

There are a few batters that have no BP singles on their cards as well (Mark McGwire's most expensive card for example).

so having these players in your league will skew the number of BP singles chances rolled as well.