Normalization

Pulpit humor has its own cadre of followers.

djp_77 wrote:

It's ridiculous to assume that because you win a bunch of games early that your team is entitled to win over 100.

I'm not saying I'm entitled to anything. I'm just saying this has happened to all of us too many times to be a coincidence. I'm also NOT saying mine is the most egregious example. I know people had worse collapses than mine. But 40-14 to start to 1-11 in the last 12. Come on!!!!

We are all aware of some of the great collapses of all time: the 51 Dodgers, 64 Phillies, 69 Cubs etc. But most of these slumps have happened at the end of the season when the teams were plagued by fatigue and injuries. I have NOT HAD ONE INJURY and there have been no significant transactions in the league. I have been playing baseball simulations (Strat, APBA etc.) for over 50 years with many full seasons played as have many others in this community. This kind of thing happens, of course, but not with the regularity that is happens in the Stat Online game. By the way I'm no longer whining. I'm just sayin'.

This damn normalization is b#llsh&t. This team was screaming along at a .741 clip (40-14) and I kept wondering when the normalization would kick in and it kicked in big time as I have lost 6 straight. I have still have the best record in the league but I fear I am going to tumble into oblivion. I have the best run differential in the league and the best in my division by a wide margin. The differential was huge even in the league before the slide. And by the way I am whining. I know many others have experienced the same thing. Why in the hell can't Hal leave the damn game alone. I foolishly believed that this team would reach 100 wins but Hal took care of that. This team deserves better. I have 5 credits left and I think I'm done. This is too demoralizing.

Would you like some cheese with your whine? There is absolutely no proof of "normalization", in this game or in your season.

I won 105 games just the other day, no problem. .... Are you suggesting the game is rigged against you? Hmm, where have I heard that before?

Sorry there is no crying in baseball.

1. Other managers adjust to your team when you are off to a start like that.

2. Nobody plays .800 ball in a fairly administered capped league here. The salaries are a bit out of whack, but nothing like that. Expecting to is just setting yourself up for disappointment. Even in the current card keeper leagues people don't do that well, or (sub-.200) that poorly either.

3. Your Pythagorean record was 100-62 over the full season, so you underachieved a bit.

4. Injuries are a big equalizer, although it doesn't look like you had very many of them.

5. The general failure on this site to understand that a team's record after 1/4 to 1/3 of a season is not much more than a middling predictor of the team's final record makes me sad. If you take all of your teams' records after 54 games, and compare 3x those wins with your final win totals, you will find that at least half of your teams are 10 wins off their projection.

Amen! This ain't whine country BOY.

It was 1984

Tigers started season 35-5. Only finished with 104 wins. Normalization hit them big time. I bet Sparky Anderson was pissed when they didn't get 140 wins.

It's ridiculous to assume that because you win a bunch of games early that your team is entitled to win over 10.

Tell them! I hope this guy who is always whining isn't in his 60s. I blame the Clintons for this dreaded," normalization", which for sure is not happening, otherwise players would not hit 80-100 HRs or drive in 200 runs. Sorry. You should be happy your pathetic team did so well, you got lucky.

I have NOT HAD ONE INJURY

It didn't stop you from crying like you were cheated. Kick rocks.

That looks like a below average team anyways, you better be thankful you weren't in a division with me.