33 Game Winning Streak

Moderator: Palmtana

  • Author
  • Message
Offline

Hack Wilson

  • Posts: 1131
  • Joined: Thu Aug 23, 2012 6:16 pm

Re: 31 Game Winning Streak and Counting (thru 8/20 games)

PostFri Aug 24, 2018 7:37 pm

What are the odds of a 33 game winning streak? How would one figure that out, my sabermetric friends? One in how XX many teams are likely to achieve a 33 game winning streak? We'd all like to know.
Offline

egvrich

  • Posts: 1436
  • Joined: Thu Aug 30, 2012 4:17 pm

Re: 31 Game Winning Streak and Counting (thru 8/20 games)

PostSat Aug 25, 2018 8:55 am

Hack Wilson wrote:What are the odds of a 33 game winning streak? How would one figure that out, my sabermetric friends? One in how XX many teams are likely to achieve a 33 game winning streak? We'd all like to know.


All things being equal ... 1 in 2 x 1 in 2 x 1 in 2 ... 33 times. Of course home field, quality of team, quality of opponent all factor in.

So if you assume his is a great team, maybe it's ... 2 in 3 X 2 in 3 X 2 in 3 ... 33 times. Anyway you slice it it's amazing.

If my logic and math is correct, it would be about 1 in 647,000 ...... :o :shock:
Offline

JoeyC

  • Posts: 673
  • Joined: Sat Oct 27, 2012 7:19 pm

Re: 31 Game Winning Streak and Counting (thru 8/20 games)

PostSat Aug 25, 2018 11:00 am

egvrich wrote:I see it ended at 33 games. Best I've ever seen. Simply amazing.

Sadly, it is probably the precursor to a 1st round playoff exit ... At least it would be if it were my team. :lol:


It was indeed a fun and interesting streak. Hard to fathom that it basically lasted for 20% of a season.

The streak came to an end at 33 games. After winning the first two games of a series, Jeff Bagwell represented the potential tying run during a rally in the bottom of the 9th - only to fly out.

Looking ahead to the playoffs - the likely opponent is a worthy competitor who has been a thorn to some prior playoff teams. Will keep you posted.

JoeyC
Previous

Return to Strat-O-Matic Baseball: All-Time Greats

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 57 guests