- Posts: 1958
- Joined: Fri Mar 20, 2020 11:29 pm
Thu Oct 12, 2023 6:47 pm
Toady wrote:Hamilton17 wrote:
Yes. Very small chance. It's like 2 out of 108 possibilities each plate appearance.
If a pitcher pitches 300 innings with a WHIP of about 1.25, he is facing an average of just under 4.25 hitters per inning ... resulting in a total batters faced of nearly 1,200 in a full season. With less than 2% of those plate appearances resulting in a check of pitcher defense, it could be only 20 times per season or thereabouts.
The chance of hitting a (P)X is actually 2 chances out of 216, less than 1%. A starter throwing 300 IP would face approximately 1,300 batters per season. That suggests a (P)X will be hit 12 times per season on average. This can be double-checked on the X Tot column on the Sim Fielding page.
That's true. I forgot entirely about the other half of the options being on the hitter card. My bad.