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Bad luck or fundamentally flawed?

PostPosted: Thu May 12, 2016 7:44 am
by sociophil
My $60 mil ATG team sits just under .500 after 30 games with a +25 run dif and a 1-7 record in 1 run games. Is this just bad luck? How patient should I be?

http://365.strat-o-matic.com/league/expanded/429924

It's the alberton Miller's.

Re: Bad luck or fundamentally flawed?

PostPosted: Thu May 12, 2016 9:05 am
by tony best
A lot of money in SP for 60 million league! Dont know if bullpen good enough to support them. I think 1 run games are result of POLO Grounds. Almost no hits then BAM! A Home Run then another. Its a bit fickle as a lot of games just come down to who gets most solo homers. How are your BP home run ratings? I think your experiment interesting and with possibilities as your pitching should sustain you on the road.

Re: Bad luck or fundamentally flawed?

PostPosted: Thu May 12, 2016 11:34 am
by sociophil
I'm going to chalk it up to bad luck so far. My opponents are batting .217 with a .273 OBP versus the Millers .248 avg and .322 OBP. The Millers have hit 10/22 BPHR's versus 6/8 for my opponents. Of my 8 losses in 1 run or xtra inning games, only three have been due to the bullpen. Clearly the dice hate me.

Re: Bad luck or fundamentally flawed?

PostPosted: Thu May 12, 2016 10:18 pm
by Guynick
i play this park often. The teams do tend to underperform their diff, but they still win if you run up enough diff. That's hard to do with a payroll of $60m. I often approach 400 hr here at $100m but your pace is more like one per game -- you just don't have the money to maximize your home-park advantage.