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Prevailing wisdom from the experts

PostPosted: Wed Dec 30, 2020 12:01 am
by Denorien
I toy with pitcher's parks (Petco 1 1 1 1) in theme leagues that are predominately HR parks and HR hitting teams. I'll do this sometimes with themes where my team composition has quality hitters who are not super strong HR hitters, though, I have some HR hitters.

For my SPs in this kind of park, my thinking is that I will get better overall results from SPs like Denny McLain and Johan Santana over Dean Chance and Hal Newhouser (for example). The additional HRs McLain and Santana will give up (especially on the road) is more than offset by the lower OBP and pitching ~50% of their games at home. Most of the HRs are coming off the hitters' cards in any event and the lower OBP is at least providing few base runners around those HRs.

In general, I find a pitcher's park and 'fewer' HRs is not a winning proposition as most of the better records are the teams with more HRs than less. But, I have had some success.

By the way, this theme is 1946 forward, $ 140 million, two franchises.

I am not expecting that someone has studied this, but, what are impressions from the community about McLain and Santana vs Chance and Prince Hal?

Re: Prevailing wisdom from the experts

PostPosted: Wed Dec 30, 2020 9:26 am
by 1787
I like Santana in Petco I never had any luck with Denny. I try to stay away from pitchers from 1968 they always seem to under perform for me.

Re: Prevailing wisdom from the experts

PostPosted: Wed Dec 30, 2020 11:06 am
by kaviksdad
I'd take Santana & Denny in Petco. Should have great numbers at home. But if your league is loaded with hitter parks you might see them blow up.

Re: Prevailing wisdom from the experts

PostPosted: Wed Dec 30, 2020 2:40 pm
by nomadbrad
1787 wrote:I like Santana in Petco I never had any luck with Denny. I try to stay away from pitchers from 1968 they always seem to under perform for me.


I try to stay away from pitchers from the year 1787 :D

Re: Prevailing wisdom from the experts

PostPosted: Wed Dec 30, 2020 5:05 pm
by 1787
Had a foursome warming up in the bullpen that year WASHINGTON,ADAMS.JEFFERSON and MADISON . Unmatched then or now.

Re: Prevailing wisdom from the experts

PostPosted: Thu Dec 31, 2020 2:23 pm
by Hittmens

Re: Prevailing wisdom from the experts

PostPosted: Thu Dec 31, 2020 6:11 pm
by RiggoDrill
Here's an example of McLain & Santana in Petco: https://365.strat-o-matic.com/team/1600690

I think that's my highest projected wins (109) for ATG9.

FWIW, that league was pretty loaded with hitter's parks (average ballpark numbers were: 8.3 8.6 11.3 11.8): https://365.strat-o-matic.com/league/450896