Injuries ... The great mystery of ATG

This is the thing about injuries that I just don't get ...

What are the odds of this team with five BULLETPROOF players, one 3 gamer and ten 15 game risk players had 72 games worth of injuries:

https://365.strat-o-matic.com/team/1796372
https://365.strat-o-matic.com/league/in ... am/1796372

While in the same league, this team with two BULLETPROOF players, two 3 gamers and eleven 15 game risk players only had 46 games worth of injuries:

https://365.strat-o-matic.com/team/1795900
https://365.strat-o-matic.com/league/in ... am/1795900


To be clear I am NOT picking on the player (Barrmorris), I am calling out the system.

I see stuff like this all the time ... Teams with 8 or 9 three game injury risk starters having more injuries than teams with 8 or 9 fifteen game injury risk starters. And correspondingly the teams that avoid injuries tend to be more successful which makes sense.

Is it just luck? Why does a guy who should get injured once every 216 plate appearances get injured 7 or 8 times in a 600 plate appearance season while a 15 game injury risk plays all 162 games? Or are certain players more or less likely to be injured?

Not a conspiracy either, an honest question because I hate injuries.

I think like poker, or any other sport/game where outcomes over a long period of time (the odds "supposedly" will even out), when outliers or anomalies are greater than the norm, or there are more outliers than norm, or the outliers are farther exteme than the norm, it just makes making sense of the computer system used a folly

combine that with the inability of GM or computer to ensure certain things, a la

1. never steal 3rd with 2out....
2. never steal home with 2 out unless tied or behind by 1 run
3. never send a runner to take an extra base if down by 2 runs or more
4. never have a guy you have set to "NEVER" steal get (insert expletive of choice, mine starts with an "F") PICKED OFF (meaning for some inexplicable reason, he was standing off the bag far enough to get picked off,or even standing off the bag at all.....there is NEVER a valid reason for a slow footed runner to be picked off)
5. never substitute any given player (marked in settings) as the late inning double switch by HAL, replacing MIckey Mantle with David Howard with the RP switch, and Howard comes up 3rd to bat next inning)

and so many more

other things that frost my posterior other than injuries ?

id bet money most of the time, my team is the champion at giving up first inning runs to the opponent

i'd bet money, my opponents have cumulatively had WAY more instances of having EIGHT or MORE consecutive runners reach base

and so on

it's borderline debilitating to see good teams/players punished seemlingly unwarranted

I know and understand all my prior teams lack of success didnt have everything to do with bad luck.....but, there is no doubt some teams got mercilessly voodoo dolled by HAL, and ended up with horrendous records

on the flip side, I know there are other teams that have done better than was expected

however, without removing the luck factor completely, i'd gladly trade the little good luck i seem to get to remove a large portion of the bad luck, or at least minimize the luck factor

in fantasy sports, there are ways of minimizing luck

the public standard leagues have small rosters and often interchangeable parts available on waivers

however, private leagues with larger rosters remove more talent from the pool and thus reduces the interchangeable/replacement players effectiveness, making team building and all in season roster moves much more important

sure wish there was a way to do that here, if there is, I haven't come across it

good luck with Dr. Bombay squad

"The more we practice, the luckier we get" - Vince Lombardi

Or something pretty close to that, I could be off by a word or two.

I sometimes (often) want to scream at HAL

"What the hell's going on out here ?!"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4V0TYIO ... arlosNardo

Barrmorriss' team had the same injury frequency as your team. However, your injury severity was much worse than his. He had just one 10+ gamer. And that boils down to luck.