- Posts: 1278
- Joined: Mon Aug 27, 2012 1:04 am
The Last Druid wrote:I don't know about 12th pick - in this context. Tmfw30 historically relies very heavily on super relievers. I'm betting he is hoping to snag at least Murray or Sutter and probably both with the 12th pick. Given Bernie's stated aversion to the super reliever strategy, it might be simplest for Bernie to snag one of these guys before tmfw30 gets a chance!
I have a list of about 6 players who can serve as my first round pick and will determine the direction of my team. With the 8th pick, most, if not all, will be gone. I'm hoping that one of those players will fall to me. I seriously considered the 11th pick for the same reason that Matt took the 12th pick, but came to the conclusion that my chances of getting one of my top 6 would be greatly diminished at 11 and the player pool is deep enough that I should have no problem "pairing" my picks as I build a team. As for Matt's reasons for taking pick 12, I think Bruce has reason to believe that Matt will use picks 11 & 12 to grab a pair of relief pitchers. There's no need to have an earlier first round pick if the player one wants will be available later.
Interestingly enough, while in high school and college, my friends and I played a long running face to face seasonal league and used a serpentine draft in an 8 team league. When using the 1974 cards, I had the last pick in the first round (8th) and the first pick in the second round (9th). On a whim, I took Dale Murray and Tom House, easily the best 2 relievers and a formidable lefty righty combination out of the 'pen. Note that it was a DH league with no salary caps, no limits on relief pitcher usage (other than the endurance factor), no ballpark effects (those had yet to be created by SOM) and a limited player pool in a down year for hitting. My team did not fare well, as even back then I was not prone to bring in relief pitchers after 5 innings. Eventually I traded Murray, House, Rico Petrocelli (who was playing third base by then) and Yaz for Steve Foucalt, John Hiller (probably the two next best relievers) Mike Schmidt and Willie Stargell and my team was much better thereafter.
As for my alleged disdain of the super reliever strategy, the strategy is tougher to use in a no DH league, as HAL has been known to pinch hit with a 50 cent player for a $5 mil reliever. Of course, having two super relievers will help circumvent HAL's quirks, but $10+ mil spent on 2 relief pitchers in rounds 1 & 2 is a risky strategy in a $100 mil live draft league, but if they're going to pitch 400-500 innings between them, it obviously beats sending $18-$20 mil on equivalent starting pitchers. Also, having no DH is a double edged sword, as it gives one less hitter in the lineup to use against good pitchers.
There are so many good relievers that playing defense and taking one in the first round would likely accomplish little. Besides, Matt isn't the only player in the Finals known to use that strategy.
With the Finals having all good managers, I think the best draft strategy is to remain flexible, focus on building one's team in the live draft and to mostly worry about other teams during waivers once divisions are determined and the teams have taken shape.
Until then, I'm just happy to be here. Good luck to all this league.