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- Joined: Tue Mar 19, 2013 2:08 pm
STEVE F wrote:Agreed. Looking at it now, I'd guestimate it'll take at least 360 to make it in
STEVE F, I did a little modelling with some estimated playoff points, based on current league standings and some very, very rough point addition estimates. I did this just to get a sense of what the estimated point cut-off might be for the 36th playoff spot.
Based on this VERY ROUGH methodology, I'm estimating that the final playoff spot might require 353 points or so, in relation to the prelimary standings just published by me. The increase is related to my estimate of the additional playoff bonus points that might be earned in events, 3, 4 and 5.
Just to be clear, I have not added any of the 5 point bonuses for entering all 5 events. However, since almost all of the point leaders HAVE entered all 5 events, this is not likely to make a difference - except that the final playoff spot cut-off might be around 358 once the 5 point bonus is added for entering all 5 events.
I strongly encourage every player to keep working at it. My estimate is that about 6 of the current playoff spots (i.e. maybe about 6 of the top 36 spots in my standings totals) might change as a result of playoff races in events 3, 4 and 5! But many of the Event 4 and 5 leagues are barely underway, and so the standings could change radically as leagues are completed and playoff bonus points are awarded.
The link to the thread for my published standings as of October 6 is here:
viewtopic.php?f=8&t=633682