stratorat wrote:Ron Leflore has 2 HBP cards and 2 HBP+Injury cards.
He was recently HBP, no injury recored.
Does this eliminate the HBP+Injury cards, or is it possible the injury did not record on the play by play/Recap/Boxscore
It could be a HBP+injury card, but it's much more likely it's not. There's a 10 percent chance there will be no injury even if an injury is rolled.
If you are comparing two cards, one with a HBP on 12 and the other with a HBP+injury on 12 (and no other HBP chances for either), then it's 10 times more likely if you get a HBP without an injury that it's the guy with the HBP chance. However, if you add an additional HBP chance (say on a 2) on both cards then it's less than twice as likely.
Hope that makes sense!