The Problem with Relying on (Limited) Results
Posted: Thu May 17, 2018 3:04 pmMy latest 60s team is concluding a disappointing season. However, one bright spot has been Dick Allen, whom I picked up early in the season after he was cut by another team. This was his stat line (G/AB/R/H/2B/3B/HR/RBI/BB/SO/SB/CS/BA/OBP/SLG/OPS) for his original team:
19 62 5 9 2 1 3 4 6 23 0 0 .145 .243 .355 .598
Unimpressive for sure. However, when I checked Allen's injury result, it showed he had his best card! So I snatched him up. His results for me (with 6 games to go) were, as expected, excellent:
130 491 100 142 18 13 42 121 61 137 0 0 .289 .367 .635 1.002
Compare them to his actual 1966 stats:
141 524 112 166 25 10 40 110 68 136 10 6 .317 .396 .632 1.028
Sometimes we do have to make mystery card league decisions based on results. However, don't assume a bad card based on limited results. Furthermore, always try to determine which card a player has before letting him go. (There is a thread on figuring out which season a player has if you're new to mystery cards.) Finally, if you know you have a good card, never cut a player just because he is doing poorly.
19 62 5 9 2 1 3 4 6 23 0 0 .145 .243 .355 .598
Unimpressive for sure. However, when I checked Allen's injury result, it showed he had his best card! So I snatched him up. His results for me (with 6 games to go) were, as expected, excellent:
130 491 100 142 18 13 42 121 61 137 0 0 .289 .367 .635 1.002
Compare them to his actual 1966 stats:
141 524 112 166 25 10 40 110 68 136 10 6 .317 .396 .632 1.028
Sometimes we do have to make mystery card league decisions based on results. However, don't assume a bad card based on limited results. Furthermore, always try to determine which card a player has before letting him go. (There is a thread on figuring out which season a player has if you're new to mystery cards.) Finally, if you know you have a good card, never cut a player just because he is doing poorly.