NLD 31 - That New Site Smell

What about us folks in china?

I may get Peking Duck with rice.

What about us folks in china?

I may get Peking Duck with rice.

That's all you can get in China, isn't it?

Sorry Joe, three last-at-bat wins for my squad. HAL managed the games pretty well for me, but I'd like to say I set my team up well for that. Not sure why he keeps replacing Holliday on defense though. He is not checked to remove, nor is there a LF d.r. in my Team Strategy.

Sorry Joe, three last-at-bat wins for my squad. HAL managed the games pretty well for me, but I'd like to say I set my team up well for that. Not sure why he keeps replacing Holliday on defense though. He is not checked to remove, nor is there a LF d.r. in my Team Strategy.

Well, Jeep, you got an error from my 1e2 1b, and a 1-10 2b and then got out of a bases loaded NO outs situation in the bottom of the 9th in game one. Not sure ANYTHING sets your team up for that win.

Not to mention a couple of PBs that were critical in games 1 and 2. And, another bases loaded no outs situation in game 2.

Then in game 3, you get another error from Kotchman to cost me two unearned runs. Although, we *did* get our own X-chart hit off of your pitcher to score 6 in the 8th and get in position for another blown save. I mean, McCarthy *is* a 4e34, but it's still only a 1-4 single.

Now, I'm sure I'll win some games like those this season, but I'm also quite sure I won't chalk it up to setting my team, up, but rather to good fortune.

Lost two more one runners tonight. One on a PB in 10 and the second on a 1-4 WP.

Happy T-Giving to everyone!

Joe I was just talking in general, wasn't talking about game specifics. I know you are suppose to win all the close ones.

Joe I was just talking in general, wasn't talking about game specifics. I know you are suppose to win all the close ones.

LOL. Were that only true. I'm right at 500 in pretty much everything so far. I'm surprised I'm not better at home however. I think my team is pretty well suited for the park, but what do I know?

Worked on the ratings some last night. I'll try to post something soon. As expected things are close for the most part. There are also some big anomalies and large differences in the make up of divisions which is going to throw things off.

So Jeep, what to you think you've done with your team that makes it easier for Hal to manage?

Ouch

Your Current Injuries
Upton, Justin, through Game 62
Aybar, Erick, through Game 63
Presley, Alex, through Game 66
Montero, Miguel, through Game 67

Ratings are out!

Ok, a few comments first. There are some big differences in pitching ratio. The ratings assume a 70/30 split. There are many RHSP in the East and it's 50/50 in the West. The Central is, on average, average, but Zim is 80% LH and Big M 0%!

You are going to see some anomalies based on this as I will explain.

Ratings are from before this weekend's games.

Team Comments first:

East: Best overall ratings by 200 points over the other divisons. Best Fielding, worst pitching, best offense. Top two rated teams are in the East. Ratings tend to go up in HR parks however so it's probalby overstated a bit. I think this will be a four team race unless Semper makes too many moves.

Semper: Spent $ on hitting. Not sure I have his current roster in the rating, but I think so. Decently balanced hitting v RH and LH. A bit better v LHP. High rating hitting due to park and divisional parks. Fielding Towards the bottom. Will have few injury days overall.

DJ: Kills LHP. Probably the main reason his ratings are deceiving. Not that he's bad V RHP mind you. Big power, great D. HR park, but SPs aren't *that* HR avoiding. Only spent $28 mil on pitching. ONly one regular with 600 PA and two 3 injury guys starting both ways.

Stoney: Another team that kills LHP and is still pretty good v RHP. Also good D. Spent decent amt on pitching.

JTJ: Like Stoney somewhat susceptible to injuries with only 3 600 PA players. Decent both ways. Middle of the pack rating. Hopes to parlay SBs into runs and wins. Hopes to match up well with teams in his division and stay healthy.

Central: Ratings would say that Zim and Keyz will be the main competitors. with Big and Hawk about the same

Keyz: Lots of LHB v RHP. Spent average amounts on Hit/Pit. Worst fielding in the league, but not horrible. Ratings for O and D also middle. Not many 600 PA guys.

Big M: Not a big offense team. Good pitching. Another team with a lot of LHB. Lots of injury chances.

Zim: very good v LHP. Spent a lot on hitting. Shouldn't have a lot of injuries. Good O and fielding. Pitching middle.

Hawk: Spent average amounts on each. Not many LHB unlike the others. More balanced on O. Not good on D.

West: Lowest Rated division overall holding four of the bottom six ratings. Ratings would say it's a three team race with AT at the bottom. Jeep and GB are almost dead even.

GB: a pitching team. Spent $45 mil. O is weak. D average-ish. Decent injury situation.

Jeep: Spent more on hitting than average. Below average ratings in other categories. Only 3 RHB v RHP, but Decently balanced v RH and LH. ONly 3 guyes with 600 PA

Big A: Another pitching team. Has some high injury guys. Will need to stay healthy. Has to rely on pitching and winning close games to be in it.

AT: Ratings haven't been kind to AT, but he's been making the playoffs so..... In any case I will continue. ONe thing that will be deceiving for AT's rating is that he is VERY good V LHP and will be facing a ton of them so hats off to AT for realizing that. Pitchign is weak overall. Relies on matchups. Fielding is average. O Rating is brought down a bit by the parks in his division. Plays in progressive but only starts (I think) 4 LHB v RHP. Due to his ability to hit LHP, I would expect this team to overperform on Offense.

Code: Select all

Team Ov   Ovrl   Rtg   Rec   Dif   
DurantJ   3168   3   4   -1   E
Stoney.   3115   3   3   0   E
Zim13..   2893   4   5   -1   C
Keyzick   2848   4   6   -2   C
SemperG   2819   4   6   -2   E
JoeTJet   2772   5   5   0   E
JeepDrv   2694   6   3   3   W
Gbrooke   2682   6   4   2   W
BigMahn   2663   6   4   2   C
nythawk   2653   6   7   -1   C
BigAlrc   2520   7   7   0   W
ArrylTr   2311   9   5   4   W
      
Pretty close actually. Jeep and AT are the ones that are higher than the rating. Some of that is because of the division and some of that is because of their one run records. AT has also rolled on his cards more than any team in the league.  No one is majorly under their rating.
         
               
Team Of   O   Rtg   Run   Dif   
DurantJ   8484   1   5   -4   E
Stoney.   8415   3   3   0   E
SemperG   8306   4   4   0   E
Zim13..   8211   5   7   -2   C
Keyzick   8140   6   9   -3   C
JeepDrv   8123   6   2   4   W
nythawk   8004   7   7   0   C
JoeTJet   7988   8   4   4   E
ArrylTr   7960   9   3   6   W
BigMahn   7817   9   7   2   C
Gbrooke   7632   9   9   0   W
BigAlrc   7446   11   9   2   W

As I mentioned, AT's rating isn't too surprising giving his division. Probably due to correct some however.  Likewise DJ isn't too surprising for the opposite reason as AT. Overall the O ratings are out of whack. I suspect due to the extremes in the divisions.
               
               
Team PF   P+F   Rtg   Run   Dif   
BigAlrc   4926   2   6   -4   W
Gbrooke   4950   2   2   0   W
BigMahn   5154   4   4   0   C
JoeTJet   5216   5   5   0   E
Keyzick   5292   6   5   1   C
Stoney.   5300   6   3   3   E
DurantJ   5316   6   5   1   E
Zim13..   5319   6   7   -1   C
nythawk   5351   7   6   1   C
JeepDrv   5429   8   6   2   W
SemperG   5487   9   9   0   E
ArrylTr   5649   11   7   4   W

Big A is way off as is AT.  Stoney is a bit surprising too. Haven't looked at these to see why yet.

Park   F   Rtg   F%   Dif   
DurantJ   181   2   1   1   E
BigAlrc   329   4   5   -1   W
Zim13..   343   5   6   -1   C
JoeTJet   366   6   11   -5   E
Stoney.   374   6   4   2   E
ArrylTr   378   6   3   3   W
BigMahn   411   7   10   -3   C
JeepDrv   415   7   4   3   W
Gbrooke   416   7   9   -2   W
SemperG   463   8   7   1   E
nythawk   529   9   11   -2   C
Keyzick   567   10   12   -2   C

With the new stats, I can give better numbers on field than in the past. I think the fielding ratings are pretty darn objective so I would expect these to be fairly close when all is said and done. The one thing that is missing above revolves around Catcher performance. Since the arm is a big factor in catching, you won't see that above and so, teams with really good or really bad catching could be off a bit. Obviously JTJ has been hit hard with Big M also underperforming.  AT and Jeep have been very happy with their X-chart results (or should be)



More analysis on die rolls/Fielding/One Run/Pythag coming up when I get a chance.

Wow, Lost both 3bs in back-to-back games and had five guys out for game 2. Four for each of the other games.

Your Current Injuries
Donald, Jason, through Game 65
Betemit, Wilson, through Game 66
Presley, Alex, through Game 66
Montero, Miguel, through Game 67

Recently Off the Injured List
Upton, Justin, healthy for Game 63
Aybar, Erick, healthy for Game 64

With all that, it's no wonder we scored only one run tonight. This stretch could knock us completely out if we don't get lucky.