Luck in close games

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Guynick

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  • Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2012 4:12 pm

Luck in close games

PostWed Feb 06, 2013 11:06 am

This is not a whine, because I've had my share of success in the close ones before. It's actually more of a martyrdom complex -- my current team is +57 through 69 games, but 5-22 in extra innings and 1-run games. It's turned an expected 40-29 playoff-bound squad into a last-place 30-39 rat's nest of acrimony and contract-year selfish play.

On the plus side, I've gone from frustration to a perverse sense of satisfaction that I can blame fate, not myself, for the outcome. (OK, I can also blame my closer, who has nearly as many losses [9] as strikeouts [11]. :shock: )

Team: http://onlinegames.strat-o-matic.com/team/816749
League: http://onlinegames.strat-o-matic.com/league/266998

Like I say, I don't need your pity. But I would love to hear other examples of outrageously bad fortune to distract the poor Topical Ointments from their self-loathing.
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Musial6

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Re: Luck in close games

PostWed Feb 06, 2013 11:11 am

I always do the Cub count. Three and you're doomed. I see you have Mordecai and Maddux. Don't recognize any others, but they're out there..........lurking.
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visick

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  • Location: Huntington Beach via NYC

Re: Luck in close games

PostWed Feb 06, 2013 1:13 pm

My 2 shiny pennies...(WAIVER: I'm no expert)

In a hitting park, anything can happen. You can go on a tear for a stretch, while also losing for a stretch.

That being said, you have 2 big holes in your lineup with McReynolds and Jackson. In a hitting park and especially @ $100 million, ya can't really have ANY dead spots.

The 1e34 @ SS is OK if it's a HUGE hitter. Like a Dahlen.

Having the big 3 pitchers is nice but at what price? In your park, I'd have 4 $6- 7 million SP's and invest in the hitting.
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Guynick

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Re: Luck in close games

PostMon Feb 11, 2013 10:24 am

Thanks, Visick. I've had success with iterations of this formula in past and am generally happy with Jackson and McReynolds for the price (for instance, http://onlinegames.strat-o-matic.com/team/386044), although it's true the soft bottom of the order might be a bridge too far for the poor Ointments.

I'm mostly just curious to see other people's tough-luck squads. This one is now +71 but 38-46 overall, due to the 6-25 in extra innings and one-run games!
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Valen

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Re: Luck in close games

PostMon Feb 11, 2013 12:58 pm

This is Ray Caldwell's agent checking in. Just wanted to point out my client has same winning percentage as Maddux and Brown. What are you getting for that extra 9 mil? Could we renegotiate my client's contract up a few mil? :D

On more serious note I think weak bullpen teams are more variable with respect to one run and extra inning games. Those are quite often decided by the bullpen. I also do not like having weak bullpens in hitter/bomber parks because they tend to increase the number of games a starter gets chased and does not finish the game making it almost certain the bullpen will decide your fate.

Thus on teams where I am trying to win in a hitter park I always make sure I have at least 1 really good reliever.

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