NLD 32 - Let's Play Two

I'll continue to debate Kimbrel over Rodney but Kimbrel's card has close to 90% outs. A quick spin of posted leagues doesn't show Kimbrel being a favorite selection.

Here are the results of a 10 year sim between the two. One important factor is all team ballparks were set as coors field:


Kimbrel: ERA IP H BB K's
2.39 786.2 547 203 1240

Rodney: ERA IP H BB K's
1.73 858 665 178 951

How many parks have been chosen? And what parks have been selected in which the park wasn't available on the site. I think we need to keep up with this.

Here are the results of a 10 year sim between the two. One important factor is all team ballparks were set as coors field:


Kimbrel: ERA IP H BB K's
2.39 786.2 547 203 1240

Rodney: ERA IP H BB K's
1.73 858 665 178 951

Rodney pitched 72 more innings yielding 118 more hits yet had a lower ERA. I assume Kimbrel's splits favors LHBs with the dice breaking for the hitters. Vs LHBs, Kimbrel allows 1.7 extra chances but 2.3 fewer total bases (no hits). On the right side, he beats Rodney in three categories.

Despite a better card, I've observed Kimbrel on one or two $80m teams.

How many parks have been chosen? And what parks have been selected in which the park wasn't available on the site. I think we need to keep up with this.

Progressive Field selected and not available on DD

DJ's time expired awhile ago, but I really would prefer not to skip him. I'll wait an hour or so until I have to go to bed.

Big M, it's Saturday, no clock. DJ has until Monday at 1pm EDT.

That said, I sent him an email just letting him know that his proxies ran out and that if he had time to pick to go for it. It's a holiday weekend so he may be busy.

Some thoughts on Rodney v Kimbrel:

First of all, there isn't much difference between them. Coors should actually favor Kimbrel because he has no BPSI v LHP.

Because of this Kimbrel is a little bit better v LHB in high single parks, but Rodney would be slightly better in low single parks.

V RHB The have about the same OB, but Rodney has more hits, but also has 4 DPs. But Kimbrel has the nod because hits are more damaging than walks.

I haven't loaded proxies, but I will be checking in on and off over the weekend.

Now, the thing that makes Rodney actually a bit better v RHB is the "intangibles". Kimbrel has a 1-20 WP, is a +5 hold and is a 3 whereas Rodney is a 2. When pitchers are this close, it can tip the scales. In fact in a small single park, Rodney is goign to get the nod v LHB because of this also.

Corky, thanks for sharing your stats. IMHO, it just shows the variability in a dice game because theoretically these two guys shold be neck-and-neck every single time.

Hey Jeep,

DJ made his pick. Someone must have taken your proxy. You're up.

Dang GB, Ziegler was my proxy.

Wow. Grabbed him out of your hands.

Well, it's 5AM in Asia so I'm sure we're done till late this evening. I put in a proxy just in case.

Have a great Saturday Fellas. Hope you have a great Easter too.