NLD 32 - Let's Play Two

Happy to win two last night, could have easily swept.

Had a 6-0 lead and Hal in his brilliance leaves in my Mop up guy to try to close.

http://onlinegames.strat-o-matic.com/game/329159/505

Go figure. Wow.

Happy to win two last night, could have easily swept.

Had a 6-0 lead and Hal in his brilliance leaves in my Mop up guy to try to close.

http://onlinegames.strat-o-matic.com/game/329159/505

Go figure. Wow.

I wish my mop up guy had a 2.96 ERA

Well, it's a Small Sample Size and bit of luck for a .58 guy to have a 2.96 ERA. Still doesn't mean Hal should be leaving him in there once it got to a closing situation!

Oh well. I know it's not the only pitching anomaly we'll see all year! And I'm sure some of them will certainly break my way. Just thought it was really weird.

Ok, gotta get back to work and I have a softball game tonight so I don't know when I'll get some comments in. Feel free to make your own observations.

A quick one, they seem very close this year. In Overall, only Big A (up) and Corky (Down) seem way off. The rest are decently close. DJ could have some complaints however.

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Team...   O...   P...   F..   P+F.   Ovrl   Div
JoeTJet   7953   5029   520   5549   2404   E
DurantJ   8092   5074   655   5729   2363   C
Corky..   8063   5248   494   5742   2321   C
nythawk   7359   5038   156   5194   2165   C
SemperG   7977   5247   570   5817   2161   E
JeepDrv   8040   5508   448   5956   2084   W
Keyzick   7873   5326   497   5824   2049   C
Gbrooke   7582   5202   405   5607   1976   W
BigMahn   7377   5221   212   5433   1943   W
BigAlrc   7516   5370   212   5582   1934   E
Stoney.   7466   5212   417   5629   1837   W
ArrylTr   8024   5728   560   6288   1736   E


Overall

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Team Ov   Ovrl   Rtg   Rec Dif   
JoeTJet   2404   5   5   0   E
DurantJ   2363   3   4   -1   C
Corky..   2321   4   5   -1   C
nythawk   2165   6   7   -1   C
SemperG   2161   4   6   -2   E
JeepDrv   2084   6   3   3   W
Keyzick   2049   4   6   -2   C
Gbrooke   1976   6   4   2   W
BigMahn   1943   6   4   2   W
BigAlrc   1934   7   7   0   E
Stoney.   1837   3   3   0   W
ArrylTr   1736   9   5   4   E


Offense

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Team Of   O   Rtg   Run Dif   
DurantJ   8092   2   5   -3   C
Corky..   8063   3   5   -2   C
JeepDrv   8040   4   2   2   W
ArrylTr   8024   5   5   0   E
SemperG   7977   6   8   -2   E
JoeTJet   7953   6   3   3   E
Keyzick   7873   7   9   -2   C
Gbrooke   7582   8   8   0   W
BigAlrc   7516   9   4   5   E
Stoney.   7466   9   11   -2   W
BigMahn   7377   9   11   -2   W
nythawk   7359   11   10   1   C


P+F

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Team PF   P+F   Rtg   Run   Dif   
nythawk   5194   2   6   -4   C
BigMahn   5433   4   5   -1   W
JoeTJet   5549   5   3   2   E
BigAlrc   5582   5   6   -1   E
Gbrooke   5607   5   3   2   W
Stoney.   5629   5   2   3   W
DurantJ   5729   6   4   2   C
Corky..   5742   6   9   -3   C
SemperG   5817   7   4   3   E
Keyzick   5824   7   5   2   C
JeepDrv   5956   8   9   -1   W
ArrylTr   6288   11   9   2   E



Fielding only

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Park   F   Rtg   F% Dif   
nythawk   156   2   4   -2   C
BigMahn   212   3   2   1   W
BigAlrc   212   3   5   -2   E
Gbrooke   405   5   7   -2   W
Stoney.   417   5   6   -1   W
JeepDrv   448   5   6   -1   W
Corky..   494   6   6   0   C
Keyzick   497   6   8   -2   C
JoeTJet   520   6   9   -3   E
ArrylTr   560   7   7   0   E
SemperG   570   8   8   0   E
DurantJ   655   9   10   -1   C


Gosh, not a single comment? (Fixed the sort on the first listing to be by overall)

In SOM action, we lost 2 of 3 at home against Big A. A heartbreaker in game 3. A stirring comeback (with some breaks) to tie the game and have the bases loaded in the bottom of the 9th, but can't do it and then lose on a single, two steals by Gordon and a squeeze by Reyes.

Yes, Gordon is our hero now!

Strange series, we didn't need a relief pitcher in the first two games, then we had to use 5 RPs to get through the last two innings in game 3.

Concerning the ratingss, JTJ, I really don't know what to think of it. My team is kind of an anomaly right now ... and I hope that will last!

I saw the ratings Joe, and it just adds to my frustration. I liked my team coming in based on simulations and now I see that they were rated in your system pretty high as well. For some reason its not translating to SOM online...don't know what the reason is.


Also, could you explain the ratings a little more? Is a higher or lower number better for pitching? What do the division numbers mean? Thanks!

Big A,

The big difference is that you're scoring a LOT more runs than would be expected. For example your team has low ob across the board and yet, you're second in OB.

Part of that is due to the fact that the P+F in the East is the weakest, by far, in the league.

Here are the averages for each division

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Divn   Offn   Ptch   Fld   P+F   Overall
East   7867   5343   465   5809   2058
Cent   7847   5172   450   5622   2225
West   7616   5286   371   5656   1960



We're hoping you cool off!

Corky,

Looks like to me you're having some bad luck. Your Pythag is a little low and I would expect your offense to be a bit better. The Central does have the best pitching however so that'll depress your O a bit. Another thing is that your O is very HR dependent and doesn't have a lot of OB or average especially v RHP. You're prolly hitting a lot of solo shots. Be glad your division is so tight!

Lower numbers are better for pitching and fielding.

The "division numbers" aren't really division nubmers it's just that the way it formatted didn't put the headings over the numbers. I have fixed that. It should make more sense now.

Some other, general, observations:

Semper should be better on Offense especially in the East. Keyzick too. However Keyz is in the Central where all the teams are low on O except for Hawk.

On Pitching/D I just realized that I posted wrong numbers so I have now correct that above. Hawk's hasn't been what I would expect, but it's very D dependent and that causes a lot of variability to the D rating. Obviously his D isn't helping as much as it could be. The rest are remarkably close. The biggest difrferences would be Corky (under) and Sempter/Stoney over.

all the Fielding is close with the biggest anomaly being my squad.

Overall the ratings would say
East - Jet should win it easy
Central - Two team race between DJ and Corky with Hawk hanging around a bit and Keyz an also-ran
West - Jeep is the best, but GB and Big M aren't far behind. Stoney is close enough to be a threat but should fall short.
W/C - Would expect it to go to either DJ or Corky

Reality is this:
East- Big A is surprising, but, as ratings would project, jet has the 2nd best rec in the league and the best run dif by a good margin. AT is surprisingly close.
Central - An absolute horse race with no one having the upper hand presently. Surprising that the division doesn't have a better out-of-division record.
West - Ratings are right on here with GB and Jeep at the top. The surprise is that Big M isn't closer. Still with the ratings as close as they are, I think anyone could win this division and it wouldn't be a huge surprise.
W/C - Jet is up by 5 over Jeep/GB at present.

Come on fellas, give me something besides for crickets on these writeups. Do you think they accurately rate your team? If not, why not?

In the mean time, Big A refuses to lose!

He's won:
six straight
9 of 10
14 of 17
19 of 25

I could go on, suffice it say he hasn't lost a series since May 10 and hasn't lost two series in a row since we took 2 of 3 on May 5.

No wonder I can't gain on the guy. I mean, we're not playing great, but yeesh, he's heading for 100 wins. +14 in one run games!