Ratings at long last and even in time for you guys to start cutting guys before the 20% hit. Not sure that's advisable, but, hey, who am I to say?
Ratings are surprising close I think. $100 mil leagues can be very even and I think the ratings largely are. I also tried hard to reflect small differences as being small.
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Team... O... P... F.. P+F. Ovrl Div
DurantJ 7749 4362 447 4809 2940 E
Stoney. 8227 4886 447 5333 2894 E
JeepDrv 8045 4915 273 5189 2856 C
JoeTJet 7786 4597 381 4977 2809 W
BigMahn 7506 4429 300 4729 2776 E
Corky.. 7809 4941 177 5118 2691 C
Gbrooke 8328 5221 458 5679 2648 W
BigAlrc 7206 4444 142 4586 2619 W
Keyzick 7761 4880 368 5248 2513 C
nythawk 8076 4949 731 5679 2396 W
SemperG 7510 4683 441 5125 2386 E
ArrylTr 8083 5124 609 5733 2350 C
As I mentioned the East is very tough with 3 of the top five ratings. Stoney and DJ are effectively tied and Big M is within the margin of error, but woudln't be expected to top the other two.
Central Jeep has the best rating by a good distance. This is before his moves, but at first blush his moves may have actually helped his rating. Something that isn't that easy to do. Jeep, want to explain what you did and why? Corky & Keyz are relatively close with AT at the bottom by a good margin
West - JTJ has the best rating by a good distance over GB and Big A with Hawk definitively at the bottom of the division in terms of rating.
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Team Ov Ovrl Rtg Rec Dif
DurantJ 2940 3 4 -1 E
Stoney. 2894 3 3 0 E
JeepDrv 2856 4 6 -2 C
JoeTJet 2809 4 4 0 W
BigMahn 2776 5 5 0 E
Corky.. 2691 6 5 1 C
Gbrooke 2648 6 4 2 W
BigAlrc 2619 6 4 2 W
Keyzick 2513 7 9 -2 C
nythawk 2396 9 8 1 W
SemperG 2386 9 8 1 E
ArrylTr 2350 9 4 5 C
AT is really the only anomaly. His rating is always hurt by his matchup pen which doesn't rate as well as it usually pitches. His performance is also somewhat explained by his extras and one run records.
As expected the East is tight with DJ and Stoney at the top. Semper ticketed for last. WC likely to come from this division.
In the Central AT is a suprise. Jeep has underperformed his rating, but hard to determine exactly why. I guess his pitching is a bit low. Not too surprising to see Corky close to Jeep. Would expect Jeep to make a move however and aT to fall off. Keyz might hang around the periphery, but doesn't look quite strong enough. Currently he's being killed by his one run record. Interesing to note that the entire Central currently has a negative run diff!
West - JTJ is at the top, but Big A is close. Ratings-wise Big A and GB are built for their respective park type so they need to minimize the downside while taking advantage of their parks. So Far Big has actually been better on the road (I'd be surprised if that keeps up) but only +2 at home. GB is closer to what I'd think but he's done better on the road than I would expect. However, I haven't analyzed which parks his road record has been compiled in, so hi might be doing well in the hitter's parks. I know he just swept me in a pitchers park so that helps his numbers in a somewhat small sample size. Ratings say that Hawk is in for a long season.
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Team Of O Rtg Run Dif
Gbrooke 8328 2 3 -1 W
Stoney. 8227 3 3 0 E
ArrylTr 8083 4 4 0 C
nythawk 8076 5 6 -1 W
JeepDrv 8045 6 5 1 C
Corky.. 7809 6 5 1 C
JoeTJet 7786 7 7 0 W
Keyzick 7761 8 7 1 C
DurantJ 7749 9 5 4 E
SemperG 7510 9 8 1 E
BigMahn 7506 9 6 3 E
BigAlrc 7206 11 6 5 W
Big A is the only team that is far off it's numbers, but the runs scored are generally so close ,it's hard to really tell at this point. Things should start separting (or not) with more games played. Runs scored to rating are pretty much in lock-step
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Team PF P+F Rtg Run Dif
BigAlrc 4586 1 3 -2 W
BigMahn 4729 2 4 -2 E
DurantJ 4809 3 3 0 E
JoeTJet 4977 5 2 3 W
Corky.. 5118 6 6 0 C
SemperG 5125 6 5 1 E
JeepDrv 5189 7 9 -2 C
Keyzick 5248 7 7 0 C
Stoney. 5333 8 5 3 E
Gbrooke 5679 11 8 3 W
nythawk 5679 11 12 -1 W
ArrylTr 5733 12 8 4 C
As mentioned, AT's pitching is better than expected. There are a few other teams that are a little above or below and could end up being significant. E.g. it would be surprising to see JTJ have the fewest runs allowed. Stoney and GB are also borderline better than expected too.
I haven't done the fielding comparison or luck factor ratings yet. We'll see when I get time to do that.
Comments?