Injuries

I know it has been posted here but I could not find it. Playing high expected injury rate players (3) (4)...is there an expected number of games they would miss. I know it is random, but I would think there would be some trends.

There are better studies, but this is what I use
injury 2 rating Miss 22 games
3 32
4 40
5 46
6 52

For more information, here's an old thread on the old 200X forum at the TSN site:

http://forum.onlinegames.strat-o-matic. ... 2&t=601170

http://forum.onlinegames.strat-o-matic. ... 2&t=625324

Another old thread with some more thoughts

This is a really good thread on injuries and starts missed/games missed, factoring in the difference in the number of expected plate appearances:

http://forum.onlinegames.strat-o-matic. ... 2&t=623726

This thread states that HAL WILL use pitchers in the field and batting order if your lineup goes below the required number of batters/fielders:

http://forum.onlinegames.strat-o-matic. ... 2&t=574000

This one is an unexpected gem:

http://forum.onlinegames.strat-o-matic. ... 2&t=426227

What I liked about this thread is that LMBombers informs us that "HAL", or rather "Hal", is named after Hal Richman, the inventor/founder/owner of Strat-O-Matic, with a tip of the hat to HAL of Arthur C Clarke's Space Odyssey series!

viewtopic.php?f=5&t=632610


This is a reply to my question--(which was the same)

Subtract the injury rating from 23.
Multiply the result by half the injury rating.

That's it.

23 - inj. Then .... "The result" times inj/2.

23-1 = 22. ..... 22 times 1/2 = 11. .... 1 injury = 11 games missed, including "the rest of game" (so there are fewer than 11 STARTS missed).

23-5 = 18. .... 18 times 5/2 = 45. ... 5 injury = 45 games missed. (Includes "rest of game," so there are fewer than 45 STARTS missed.)

This is just a rough estimate for a middle-of-the-lineup guy on an average scoring team. Increase the number of games missed for lead-off hitters and high scoring teams; decrease the number for ninth hitters and low-scoring teams. Why?: The real formula is based on how many PAs a full-time player "would have" at a certain line-up position on a certain (high or low scoring) team, if never injured. The more exact short-hand formula is on some other post .

Note that this does not account for standard deviation, which is the REAL risk in higher injury ratings. It just gives the average, over a huge number of seasons.