Ok, I did these before the last series, but they are pretty close. As I stated before, I didn't adjsut for any moves or differences in pithcing usage so.....
I added fielding this time around.
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Team Ov Ovrl Rtg Rec Dif
DurantJ 2940 3 4 -1 E
Stoney. 2894 3 5 -2 E
JeepDrv 2856 4 6 -2 C
JoeTJet 2809 4 3 1 W
BigMahn 2776 5 6 -1 E
Corky.. 2691 6 6 0 C
Gbrooke 2648 6 2 4 W
BigAlrc 2619 6 4 2 W
Keyzick 2513 7 11 -4 C
nythawk 2396 9 9 0 W
SemperG 2386 9 7 2 E
ArrylTr 2350 9 3 6 C
GB was over, AT was way over and Keyz was under, but I think Keyz made a bunch of moves?
GB's overage is explained by his great record at home. As for AT, the only think I can figure is that he just out scored people. And his pitching and D was much better than would be expected. He spent less than many on pitching and Stammen who is a 2.33 mil guy got the bulk of his IP. His D (when he had Tulo) was one of the worst. Dropped to pretty much average with Hardy, but then that wouldn't explain his offense. Interesting that he's below .500 v LHP although he has very good hitters v LHP. Same record home and away, Even on 1 runners. Bottom ine is tha this pithcing over performed what the ratings would say.
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Team Of O Rtg Run Dif
Gbrooke 8328 2 2 0 W
Stoney. 8227 3 3 0 E
ArrylTr 8083 4 2 2 C
nythawk 8076 5 6 -1 W
JeepDrv 8045 6 5 1 C
Corky.. 7809 6 5 1 C
JoeTJet 7786 7 9 -2 W
Keyzick 7761 8 9 -1 C
DurantJ 7749 9 6 3 E
SemperG 7510 9 10 -1 E
BigMahn 7506 9 8 1 E
BigAlrc 7206 11 9 2 W
Only Dj was close to being off on O and he wasn't that far off.
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Team PF P+F Rtg Run Dif
BigAlrc 4586 1 2 -1 W
BigMahn 4729 2 4 -2 E
DurantJ 4809 3 5 -2 E
JoeTJet 4977 5 1 4 W
Corky.. 5118 6 9 -3 C
SemperG 5125 6 4 2 E
JeepDrv 5189 7 5 2 C
Keyzick 5248 7 9 -2 C
Stoney. 5333 8 8 0 E
Gbrooke 5679 11 6 5 W
nythawk 5679 11 12 -1 W
ArrylTr 5733 12 7 5 C
Biggest diffs came here. We covered AT already, but GB and JTJ were also better than expected. In our case, the park must have helped more than I accounted for. In GB's case the opposite. Neither spent a lot on their pitching or D.
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Fielding FRt Rtg F% Dif
BigAlrc 142 3 2 1 W
Corky.. 177 3 2 1 C
JeepDrv 273 4 1 3 C
BigMahn 300 4 4 0 E
Keyzick 368 5 7 -2 C
JoeTJet 381 5 5 0 W
SemperG 441 6 6 0 E
Stoney. 447 6 8 -2 E
DurantJ 447 6 10 -4 E
Gbrooke 458 6 8 -2 W
ArrylTr 609 8 9 -1 C
nythawk 731 10 12 -2 W
Fielding was very close with only DJ being off by much. Jeep migh thave been a bit better than expected. I should note that teams with very good catching arms are going to show worse in the actuals above (I just use X chances) and teams with so-so catching are more likely to over perform.
Luck factors
Corky had a good HR diff, one run and pythag rating for a +3 which is borderline lucky. Keyz was -5 with a large BPHR diff, one run and pythag diffs. Also was unlucky in terms of unearned runs.
As for the playoff teams, GB was alightly unlucky with bp hits. Was a bit lucky in terms of unearned runs, but not enough to be outside the Std Dev. AT was lucky with HRs and rolling on his cards and very close to the STD dev for unearned runes. JTJ was lucky rolling on his card, but not in pythag. I don't know if I believe the rolling on cards numbers as they don't zero out. DJ was unlucky with HRs, but good in one runners and not allowing unearned runs. The latter is interesting because his D underperformed his rating, but, perhaps, didn't cost him as much as could be expected.
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Mgr Wins BPSI BPHR 1-R Pyt Rolls UE/Err Luck Fctr
Corky.. 79 0% 5% 7 4 -0.4% 63% 3
Hawk... 71 6% -5% 9 5 -0.9% 65% 2
Semper. 77 3% 4% 0 -1 -0.5% 62% 2
AT..... 85 -3% 5% 0 1 1.3% 53% 1
Stoney. 81 -5% -4% 2 -2 -0.1% 45% 0
Jeep... 79 -3% -1% -1 5 -0.9% 70% 0
JTJ.... 84 -1% -1% 1 -4 1.6% 56% 0
Big M.. 79 0% -2% -5 -2 -0.7% 59% -1
BigA... 83 1% -6% -11 -3 -0.1% 43% -1
DJ..... 83 -1% -3% 5 0 -0.6% 79% -1
Gbrooke 88 -5% -6% 3 1 -1.0% 59% -2
Keyz... 65 8% -15% -10 -6 2.4% 73% -5