- Posts: 10
- Joined: Wed Sep 19, 2012 8:36 pm
I have a question about how to factor in era normalization for my drafts.
I have always assumed that cards are set up to perform realistically against the pitching cards of that year. So Joey Votto hits 305 in a 2013 league where the league's pitchers allowed a batting average of .251.
Obviously that means if you were to insert a Votto card into a league consisting of pitchers cards from 1930 he would hit higher against them and hit lower in a league consisting of pitching cards from 1968.
In other words Votto's card stays the same but his numbers are also determined by the pitchers he is facing.
So in my shorthand calculation, Votto who's .305 avg when normalized for the 1930 NL is 368, would hit about .333 in a 1930 STRAT league because of the 50/50 rule.
But thats not how things are working out for me. Dick Allen's monster 1972 year, during one of the worst hitting years ever, isn't hitting any better than any other guy with similar numbers.
And 1930 Dazzy Vance, a great pitching year in the best hitting year ever, doesn't see to be pitching much better than any other guy with a 2.60 ERA.
The records listings also seem to bear this out.
Have I been drafting all wrong? Should I just draft off raw numbers? Is there something more subtle going on?
I have always assumed that cards are set up to perform realistically against the pitching cards of that year. So Joey Votto hits 305 in a 2013 league where the league's pitchers allowed a batting average of .251.
Obviously that means if you were to insert a Votto card into a league consisting of pitchers cards from 1930 he would hit higher against them and hit lower in a league consisting of pitching cards from 1968.
In other words Votto's card stays the same but his numbers are also determined by the pitchers he is facing.
So in my shorthand calculation, Votto who's .305 avg when normalized for the 1930 NL is 368, would hit about .333 in a 1930 STRAT league because of the 50/50 rule.
But thats not how things are working out for me. Dick Allen's monster 1972 year, during one of the worst hitting years ever, isn't hitting any better than any other guy with similar numbers.
And 1930 Dazzy Vance, a great pitching year in the best hitting year ever, doesn't see to be pitching much better than any other guy with a 2.60 ERA.
The records listings also seem to bear this out.
Have I been drafting all wrong? Should I just draft off raw numbers? Is there something more subtle going on?