Semper Gumby wrote:gbrookes wrote:My point is that when I do the math on cheap starters, I come to one consistent conclusion - that you just simply get what you pay for (not surprisingly). So the only way I would prefer cheap specialty starters is when I can start them against a very extreme batting lineup, with a very extreme balance or handedness advantage for the pitcher.
If you use 4 SPs*, each SP pitches at least 40 games each with two getting 41 games.
If you use 5 SPs, each pitches 32 games with two pitching 33 games.
If you mix, the SP* will be limited to no more than 38 games depending the number of SPs in the rotation. A loss of 3 games with other SP* losing up to 5 starts each.
Losing 3 or 5 games for the * starter rating to work a match-up every third or fourth series is too expensive me.
I understand your logic too.
Mine might be hard to debate without some numerical support from my perspective. I think I'll wait till our league starts, and I'll share some numbers after a few games are played - always after the games, not before. The logical time for me to share numbers would be in connection with games where I chose to delay a start for Gonzalez, since starting every 4th game is obviously the default strategy.
The following comment doesn't necessarily prove my point at all, because it's posted in a different context. But J-Pav's recent post here about his secret formula at work in 2012 is interesting to me, because his new team is using the same SP mix, with Gio Gonzalez mixed in with non SP* starters:
viewtopic.php?f=5&t=634204&p=5452032&sid=c87c8e91dc1356cce2e247644736a710#p5452032Anyway, I'll share some stuff once our season begins, after some specific games where I made choices based on my analysis.