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paul8210 wrote:It'd be cool, though, if there was some kind of randomization. Say, a 20% chance of a randomization after a player is waived. Also, it would be neat if there was a downward salary adjustment for any player whose actual SOM performance before being waived was worse than his stated average.
l.strether wrote:paul8210 wrote:It'd be cool, though, if there was some kind of randomization. Say, a 20% chance of a randomization after a player is waived. Also, it would be neat if there was a downward salary adjustment for any player whose actual SOM performance before being waived was worse than his stated average.
But part of the reason an owner fully scrutinizes his player before he releases him is he doesn't want to make a good player available to the rest of the league. If that player could be randomized regardless of what card he has hit on, then such scrutiny--which is one of the cool challenges of the mystery game--would become less important. Also, other owners wouldn't need to do their due diligence in analyzing released players, since they could just be randomized and their analysis would also be less important. Therefore, the current Mystery league card system should really stay as is; it maintains a strong demand on player analysis from all owners that is vital to the Mystery League's enjoyment, and it prevents a near incessant level of releases and pick-ups that such a randomization would encourage.
paul8210 wrote:Interesting points of view....
I like Joe's idea. If Carl Yastrzemski is a $10 million player and is waived because he is hitting .214, two things come to mind:
1) Nobody wants to spend $10 million on his worst mystery card.
2) A change in scenery occasionally, but, not usually, invigorates a player.
So, if I could get Yastrzemski for $9 million instead of $10 million and if, as I suggested in my previous post, there was a 20% probability of his mystery card getting re-randomized (e.g. 80% chance nothing will change and it will still be his worst mystery card), then, I might take a chance. My proposal would be that the team who waived him cannot reacquire him.
If this is perceived as an advantage to other managers and discourages the manager from waiving Yastrzemski, then, that is good, too, since the opposing managers will likely benefit from the not-so-superstar's subpar season if he remains with the original team. As it is now, there are too many waived players, anyway.
So, in summary, I do think the strategy would be enhanced if it weren't so obvious that a waived player is often not worth the money.
l.strether wrote:paul8210 wrote:Interesting points of view....
I like Joe's idea. If Carl Yastrzemski is a $10 million player and is waived because he is hitting .214, two things come to mind:
1) Nobody wants to spend $10 million on his worst mystery card.
2) A change in scenery occasionally, but, not usually, invigorates a player.
So, if I could get Yastrzemski for $9 million instead of $10 million and if, as I suggested in my previous post, there was a 20% probability of his mystery card getting re-randomized (e.g. 80% chance nothing will change and it will still be his worst mystery card), then, I might take a chance. My proposal would be that the team who waived him cannot reacquire him.
If this is perceived as an advantage to other managers and discourages the manager from waiving Yastrzemski, then, that is good, too, since the opposing managers will likely benefit from the not-so-superstar's subpar season if he remains with the original team. As it is now, there are too many waived players, anyway.
So, in summary, I do think the strategy would be enhanced if it weren't so obvious that a waived player is often not worth the money.
First of all, your proposal is not "perceived" as an advantage to managers picking up released players, it would be a significant advantage to managers picking up released players over the managers releasing them. The manager releasing the player would not benefit from being stuck with a player on a subpar season; he would suffer for having to stick with that player out of fear that an opposing manager could pick up that player in his "randomized" mode and for 90% of his salary.
Therefore, your "randomization/salary reduction" proposal would not enhance the strategy of the mystery game, but it would, instead, create a clear advantage for managers picking up released players over managers releasing their players, which would be detrimental to both the strategy and the equity of the current Mystery Game. And, as I mentioned in my post above, if managers know players could be "randomized" then both releasing managers and managers picking up players would feel less need to analyze players since "randomization" could nullify that analysis. And as we all know, player analysis is one of the most important and enjoyable aspects of the Mystery Game, an aspect your "randomization" proposal would severely diminish....and that's just not worth mollifying managers who "don't want to spend 10 million on Yastrzemski's worst mystery card."
paul8210 wrote:l.strether wrote:paul8210 wrote:Interesting points of view....
I like Joe's idea. If Carl Yastrzemski is a $10 million player and is waived because he is hitting .214, two things come to mind:
1) Nobody wants to spend $10 million on his worst mystery card.
2) A change in scenery occasionally, but, not usually, invigorates a player.
So, if I could get Yastrzemski for $9 million instead of $10 million and if, as I suggested in my previous post, there was a 20% probability of his mystery card getting re-randomized (e.g. 80% chance nothing will change and it will still be his worst mystery card), then, I might take a chance. My proposal would be that the team who waived him cannot reacquire him.
If this is perceived as an advantage to other managers and discourages the manager from waiving Yastrzemski, then, that is good, too, since the opposing managers will likely benefit from the not-so-superstar's subpar season if he remains with the original team. As it is now, there are too many waived players, anyway.
So, in summary, I do think the strategy would be enhanced if it weren't so obvious that a waived player is often not worth the money.
First of all, your proposal is not "perceived" as an advantage to managers picking up released players, it would be a significant advantage to managers picking up released players over the managers releasing them. The manager releasing the player would not benefit from being stuck with a player on a subpar season; he would suffer for having to stick with that player out of fear that an opposing manager could pick up that player in his "randomized" mode and for 90% of his salary.
Therefore, your "randomization/salary reduction" proposal would not enhance the strategy of the mystery game, but it would, instead, create a clear advantage for managers picking up released players over managers releasing their players, which would be detrimental to both the strategy and the equity of the current Mystery Game. And, as I mentioned in my post above, if managers know players could be "randomized" then both releasing managers and managers picking up players would feel less need to analyze players since "randomization" could nullify that analysis. And as we all know, player analysis is one of the most important and enjoyable aspects of the Mystery Game, an aspect your "randomization" proposal would severely diminish....and that's just not worth mollifying managers who "don't want to spend 10 million on Yastrzemski's worst mystery card."
1. I never stated that the manager releasing the underachieving player would benefit from being stuck with a player. I said the opposite.
2. There would not be a significant advantage to managers picking up a released player at 80-90 % of their value because my proposal would only re-randomize the mystery card 20% of the time. In other words, If I spend $9m on a .214 hitting Yastrzemski who was waived, instead of 10M, there is at least an 80% probability I will be stuck with the same subpar mystery card of the superstar the rest of the way. But, the small probability that a change of scenery could spark Yaz into turning his season around makes my proposal intriguing (at least to me, anyway).
3.Player analysis would still be as important because "re-randomization" of a waived player's mystery card would only occur a small percentage of the time. Even if re-randomized, the player could still end up being the same poor mystery card.
In summary, my proposal preserves the integrity of the current thought process of whether to waive a player because it would only "re-randomize" the mystery card a small percentage of the time, while adding a new spectrum of realism by introducing a small probability that a player could turn his dismal season around with another team. This would enhance the strategy of the mystery game and make it more fun without being unfair to a manager.
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