2013 MLB Predictions

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STEVE F

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Re: 2013 MLB Predictions

PostTue Mar 18, 2014 3:52 pm

I agree with all of your comments except Uribe's defense. He was as good at 3b as anyone in the NL last season, and could have won the gold glove (he finished second to Arrenado, who is fantastic so no complaints).
I think they knew exactly what they were doing when they got Haren, I would not be surprised if he has a stellar year. Remember that a lot of the Dodger braintrust came from Washington. When Roy Clark was hired, the first thing he told Kasten was "get Haren", he knows Haren as well as anybody
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l.strether

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Re: 2013 MLB Predictions

PostTue Mar 18, 2014 4:58 pm

STEVE F wrote:I agree with all of your comments except Uribe's defense. He was as good at 3b as anyone in the NL last season, and could have won the gold glove (he finished second to Arrenado, who is fantastic so no complaints).
I think they knew exactly what they were doing when they got Haren, I would not be surprised if he has a stellar year. Remember that a lot of the Dodger braintrust came from Washington. When Roy Clark was hired, the first thing he told Kasten was "get Haren", he knows Haren as well as anybody


Uribe finished second to Arenado?...well, he has definitely improved his footwork from his SF days where he never comfortably shifted from Short to Third. A "stellar" year for Haren, huh? I have to say, I admire your optimism. I guess it will come down to which Haren shows up this year. Will it be the Haren who had a 6.15 ERA with 19 homers in his first 15 starts last year, or will it be the Haren who did fairly well the rest of the way to finish with a subpar 4.67 ERA for the year? I must say, as a devoted Giants fan, I'm definitely pulling for the former... ;)
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Ninersphan

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Re: 2013 MLB Predictions

PostWed Mar 19, 2014 7:37 pm

Here's my prediction for my team, the Mets...


They'll suck, lucky to to finish anywhere near .500 and will having me anxiously awaiting football season by June 1. ;)
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STEVE F

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Re: 2013 MLB Predictions

PostWed Mar 19, 2014 7:46 pm

I can easily seeing the Mets exceeding expectations this year
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teamnasty

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Re: 2013 MLB Predictions

PostWed Mar 19, 2014 9:01 pm

That's a low bar to hurdle over. Lol!
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Radagast Brown

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Re: 2013 MLB Predictions

PostWed Mar 19, 2014 10:21 pm

I was a little surprised I. Strether predicted my favorite team the Cleveland Indians to finish in second place. Many people are not buying into the Tribe's 90 plus wins from last season. In fact, Las Vegas sports books have their over/under on regular season win total to be 80.5. I would bet the over all day long. The Indians had sub par years out of Michael Bourne, Nick Swisher and Asdrubal Cabrera, and they still won 92 games. They did lose Ubaldo Jimenez and Scott Kazmir. But Swisher, Cabrera and Bourne should rebound, maybe Ryan Raburn and Yan Gomes will taper off a bit but Jason Kipnis and Michael Brantley are in their prime and the Indians still have a solid pitching staff. They are a small market team and like all small market teams they will need to stay healthy and get lucky. ... I wish they would just make Jason Giambi a coach and not have him take up a roster spot that could be used for someone like Jeff Francouer, but Terry Francona's one weakness is his man crush on Giambi...

I hope it is a fun season for all the fans, especially us long suffering fans!
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Radagast Brown

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Re: 2013 MLB Predictions

PostWed Mar 19, 2014 10:24 pm

The A.L. West is always interesting. The Angels underperformed and the Mariners got some huge upgrades. The As and Rangers always seem to be in the mix. That is a tough division to predict but I think two teams will come out of the west to make the playoffs.
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l.strether

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Re: 2013 MLB Predictions

PostThu Mar 20, 2014 1:53 am

I was surprised too about where I placed the Indians. They did lose Jimenez and Kazmir, but (as you mentioned) they still have a solid staff In Masterson, Kluber, Mcallister, and Salazar left; Axford was throwing hard for St. Louis at the end of the year; and if Bauer ever gets his act together, he could be a solid fifth starter. I also agree with you that they have a solid group of regulars (with Swisher and Bourn likely to rebound), and I have a feeling that Francisco Lindor (a future all-star and gold-glover) will replace Cabrera halfway through the year, with them either trading Cabrera for pitching or moving him to third...so Cleveland should do ok.

But they won't really compete for the playoffs, as I see a strongly stratified AL Central. Detroit will easily win by 6+ games and Cleveland, Chicago (who made excellent pickups in Abreu, Eaton, and Davidson), and Kansas City (who also made excellent pickups in Aoki and Infante) will form a tightly compressed 2-3-4 behind Detroit....and Minnesota will straggle behind at a distant fifth.

Anyway, Radagast, I think it's great that you're excited about your Indians, and I think they'll reward you with some solid play and legitimate competition, if not necessarily 90 wins or a playoff spot.
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pwootten

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Re: 2013 MLB Predictions

PostThu Mar 20, 2014 2:22 pm

Everything in this post is tainted by my blind allegiance to the Royals, but I do not see the Tigers being the shoo-in some think they'll be. Their pitching isn't likely to be as strong as 2013. The loss of Iglesias is huge. Prince's 100+ RBI's have to be replaced by someone. The Indians are a huge question mark to me. It won't take much for the Royals offense to improve, plus as another poster said, Aoki and Infante were great pickups that fill holes in RF, 2B, and lead-off. KC's starting pitching will be the question. Lots of hope being pinned on rookie Yordano Ventura.

Like many small market teams, the Royals have a short window of opportunity. I'm hoping they bring a winner back here.
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l.strether

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Re: 2013 MLB Predictions

PostThu Mar 20, 2014 5:07 pm

pwootten wrote:Everything in this post is tainted by my blind allegiance to the Royals, but I do not see the Tigers being the shoo-in some think they'll be. Their pitching isn't likely to be as strong as 2013. The loss of Iglesias is huge. Prince's 100+ RBI's have to be replaced by someone. The Indians are a huge question mark to me. It won't take much for the Royals offense to improve, plus as another poster said, Aoki and Infante were great pickups that fill holes in RF, 2B, and lead-off. KC's starting pitching will be the question. Lots of hope being pinned on rookie Yordano Ventura.

Like many small market teams, the Royals have a short window of opportunity. I'm hoping they bring a winner back here.


Um, I was the poster who said that Aoki and Infante were great pickups...I said it in my post right above yours.
As to the Indians being a "huge question mark," you should also check back to my post above yours, address the points I made about Cleveland being a solid (but not a playoff) team, and please explain to me what makes them a "huge" question mark...as opposed to Chicago and Kansas City.

The Tigers are also still the best team in the division, and most likely a shoo-in for it. They easily have the best Front Three in the league in Scherzer, Verlander, and Sanchez; Porcello is a solid fourth, and Drew Smyly has solid potential as a fifth. They finally got a closer, and they got an excellent one in Nathan, not to mention Bruce Rondon and his 100 mph fastball setting him up. Yes, Fielder Is gone, but he was a poor clutch hitter in the second half of the season (and abhorrent in the playoffs), so Martinez should do as good a job, if not better, backing up Miggy in the lineup. Speaking of Miggy, he will be the monster he always has been and possibly a bigger one since he won't have to play third, which will be manned by Nick Castellanos, an excellent hitting prospect and superior defender (to Miggy) at third, who is having an excellent spring. Austin Jackson will still be playing his excellent centerfield, and I haven't yet mentioned Ian Kinsler who will bring more offense to Second than Infante provided and should provide fire and leadership to a team that has really had neither the past five years. And while losing Iglesias will hurt, Dombrowski will certainly address the shortstop issue--as he did when Peralta was suspended--as there are already rumors of Drew heading their way.

As to Kansas City, as I said in my previous post, I think they made good additions and will do ok (similar to Cleveland and Chicago)...but they are not a playoff competitor, and they will not challenge Detroit for the division. Firstly, they lost their number two starter, Santana, and replaced him with (ugh) Jason Vargas. So, besides Shields and Chen (who didn't make all his starts last year), the Royals have substantial question marks in the rotation. Yes, Ventura has an electric fastball, but his command is still in development, and Kansas City really needs him to be a solid Three or Four this year, as they're really toast if they have to fall back on Duffy or Wade Davis. They also have significant question marks in their lineup, as Moustakas, Escobar, and Cain all had terrible years at the plate last year, and even Billy Butler had a down year offensively....So KC will do ok, but they won't challenge Detroit.

Honestly, Dayton Moore really blew it for the Royals when he traded Wil Myers and Jake Odorizzi to TB for Shields and Davis. He could have signed Kyle Lohse and kept both Myers in right field and Odorizzi in the fifth spot, instead of losing both young, talented players (who they would control for 6 years) for Shields (who will be gone next year) and his 13 wins. They probably would have been just as competitive this and last year, and they would have a much brighter future.
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