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andycummings65 wrote:Geoff, I mix * and non* guys too. Only thing is, if you go with only 5 non* guys, you lose the mix and match opportunities. Many times I've used an expensive * and 4 cheaper non* guys and it works well.
As crazy as it sounds, this exercise doesn't take that much time, for a 12 team league, and a 5 man rotation with no *SP starters:
1. Estimate/Predict your division rivals' lineups (in a 12 team league, that's 3 division rivals), in terms of L-R vs each of LHP and RHP, and their overall balance, in terms of _L _R or E.
2. Do a chart where the division rivals are on the left side (row headings) and the columns are 5 man starter rotation spots, 1 through 5. So it's a 3 by 5 matrix of possible results - 3 rows and 5 columns.
3. Print out your own team's schedule. Every time your team plays a division rival, put a tick mark in the appropriate box, 1, 2, 3 , 4 or 5, for the place in the 5 man rotation. With a 5 man rotation, game numbers ending in 1 or 6 are the "1" spot, games ending in "2" or "7" are the 2 spot, "3" and "8" are the 3 spot, , "4" and "9" are the 4 spot, and "5" and "10" are the 5 spot. Keep going until you've ticked 72 times - once for every game you play against divisional rivals. Now your 3 by 5 matrix has 72 tick marks scattered in the 15 boxes on the matrix.
4. Look for imbalances in how the starting rotation matches up against divisional rivals. Almost always, one of the rotation spots will have a significant imbalance, where the starter will face 2 teams a lot, and 1 team not very much at all.
5. Now match up your starters - lefties and righties, L balanced and R balanced, against the divisional rivals that they are best suited for. Use the imbalanced starting spots to place the pitchers who are best suited to the 1 or 2 division rivals that they will play against a lot, and who need to avoid the 1 division rival that they won't play much at all, according to the way the schedule matches up against the 5 man rotation spots.
Occasionally, I get a team schedule where the 5 rotation spots play roughly the same number of games against each division rival. But usually there is enough of an imbalance in 2 or 3 rotation spots that you can nicely fit your starters against the right divisional opponents, without needing to tweak the rotation much, or at all, throughout the year. In other words, set it and forget it.
Andycummings, the above strategy has worked very well for me. Sometimes when division rivals change the makeup of their team, I have to adapt the rotation in midseason. Usually, this means dropping a starter and picking up a new one, and then sometimes I time that so that I can tweak the 5 man rotation spots at the same time!
But I have also used the strategy of mixing SP* and non* SP's in order to be able to get the best matchups at any time during the season, as you were saying.