Fri Jul 04, 2014 12:40 pm
To answer the question posed by talent hoarder, my natural instinct is to say the ballpark matters more.
Allen in Minute Maid gives you 53 RC and 46 BR v. LHP
Allen in Penmar gives you 35 RC and 36 BR v. LHP.
The ballpark is the ballpark, and obviously it doesn't change during the game, like pitching match ups can. So, IMHO, trying too hard to get the perfect match up v. a SP while essentially disregarding ballpark effects could come back to bite you in the ass. @ EOD it's a 50/50 chance the roll lands on the pitcher card, it's a 100% chance that ball park effects come into play, when ball park effects come into play.
Interesting question though. The drop off for Allen in Penmar v. LHP (opposed to say MinMaid) is not nearly as bad as Thome's drop off in the wrong park. Basically you'd have to crunch the numbers for each individual pitching match up per park.
Let me know what you come up with. Honestly that is one reason I go extreme one way with my line ups if I'm in an extremely unbalanced park. I'd rather platoon two LHBs in Penmar than a LH/RH combo.