- Posts: 1975
- Joined: Mon Dec 23, 2013 5:55 pm
Fri Nov 14, 2014 7:26 pm
While we wait for the leagues to load (come on load already!) my crack research staff pulled together some numbers. The result is my predictions as to who earns their way out of the 3 Semi's and into the Champions League.
Let me preface this post by stating you won't find a vegas line on any of these predictions nor will I take any 'action'. Also this is all for entertainment purposes only, no one was singled out...but someone has to win and more have to lose and sometimes it rains. Where possible I will provide some color...now on with the predictions.
Some high level data points:
27 championships, 12 qualifiers with zero, 3 with 2
Everyone but dukie98 played in 6 events, dukie98 showing tremendous confidence
First thing I wanted to know was who got the shaft in the division assignments, cause I definitely thought it was me in division 2. But the numbers don't lie.
Division 1
Average Rank = 26.3
Average Wins = 86.1
Championships = 11
Division 2
Average Rank = 24.8
Average Wins = 85.8
Championships = 9
Division 3
Average Rank = 30.4
Average Wins = 86
Championships = 7
I did the average rank first and was definitely convinced of my shafting, but as the other numbers started to surface the shafting became less apparent.
So another peel of the onion was how the divisions did in the 2 $100 mil events...
Division 1
Average Wins = 86
Championships = 5
8/12 teams trended up in wins
Division 2
Average Wins = 86.3
Championships = 2
6/12 teams trended up
Division 3
Average Wins = 85.9
Championships = 3
6/12 teams trended up
So division analysis has me at Division 1 being the toughest, I felt better.
Before I get to the predictions I'll explain the data used; ave wins, ave wins in $100m, champs, champs in $100m, +/- wins for $100m. Three round of eliminations in each division left me with the playoff teams in each.
The Predictions
Division 1 1st eliminations - the why
ShakeyBoomer - 81w $100 ave, -7.7 wins
Brent65 - 78.5w, -6.3 wins
reggie reigns - 80w, -5.3 wins
Division 2 1st eliminations - the why
Phenomenal - 75w $100 ave, -9.8 wins
DonFESQ - 82.5w, -6.3 wins. First hi rank to drop, $100 not his cup of tea
Jeliii - 82w, -3 wins
Division 3 1st eliminations - the why
ScumbyJr - 77w ave, -10 wins
Morpheus - 76.5w, -8 wins
rburgh - 83.5w, -3.3 wins
onto the 2nd eliminations...
Division 1 2nd eliminations - the why
Div 1 proves tough and teams that have shown success in $100m start to fall
cristano1- 86.5w ave, -0.7 wins
NYY82602 - 84.5w, -0.7 wins
MIKEARCHAMBAULT - 84w, +4.2 wins, even those 2 championships can't carry him out of this division.
Division 2 2nd eliminations - the why
BDWard - 88w ave, -1.2 wins
Boyer14 - 80.5w, -2.7 wins
Maudib1950 - 86w, -1.7 wins
Division 3 2nd eliminations - the why
dharmabums - 83.5w ave, -1.5 wins
The Last Druid - 86w, -0.5 wins
laboratory - 86w, -2 wins
Now the 3rd round of eliminations...
Division 1 3rd eliminations - the why
chuckwonup - 91w ave, +3 wins. most recent $100m season not up to par
doc x - 87.5w, +0.7 wins
Division 2 3rd eliminations - the why
Bitters - 86.5w ave, +0.8 wins
Rosie2167 - 85.5w, +2.5 wins. Can't keep up with the rest of the div
Division 3 3rd eliminations - the why
DodgerFan Always - 89.5w ave, +3 wins
Chemosh - 88w, +0.2 wins
The post season qualifiers...
Division 1 Playoff teams - the why
dukie98 - 90w ave, +0.8 wins. always at the top of the leagues, and I still cant get over only 5 events
Eveldrive - 85w, -2.5 wins. the only - wins to make the playoffs. Leans on the recent $100m championship.
Chuck1234 - 94.5w, +9 wins
BruceF - 90w, +2.2. Just knows the formula for success
Division 2 Playoff teams - the why
Roosky - 90w ave, +1.2 wins
nwelter - 93w, +10.7 wins. Huge win totals in $100m
karphenry - 87.5w, +4 wins
ksher58 - 99w, +11.3. Massive win totals in $100m
Division 3 Playoffs - the why
Hendrix08 - 87w ave, +4.2 wins
Semper Gumby - 90w, +3.2 wins
pacoboy - 92w, +6.8 wins.
hamilton_g - 92w, +7.3 wins
Semi winners...
Chuck1234
ksher58
pacoboy
Good luck all
R
Let me preface this post by stating you won't find a vegas line on any of these predictions nor will I take any 'action'. Also this is all for entertainment purposes only, no one was singled out...but someone has to win and more have to lose and sometimes it rains. Where possible I will provide some color...now on with the predictions.
Some high level data points:
27 championships, 12 qualifiers with zero, 3 with 2
Everyone but dukie98 played in 6 events, dukie98 showing tremendous confidence
First thing I wanted to know was who got the shaft in the division assignments, cause I definitely thought it was me in division 2. But the numbers don't lie.
Division 1
Average Rank = 26.3
Average Wins = 86.1
Championships = 11
Division 2
Average Rank = 24.8
Average Wins = 85.8
Championships = 9
Division 3
Average Rank = 30.4
Average Wins = 86
Championships = 7
I did the average rank first and was definitely convinced of my shafting, but as the other numbers started to surface the shafting became less apparent.
So another peel of the onion was how the divisions did in the 2 $100 mil events...
Division 1
Average Wins = 86
Championships = 5
8/12 teams trended up in wins
Division 2
Average Wins = 86.3
Championships = 2
6/12 teams trended up
Division 3
Average Wins = 85.9
Championships = 3
6/12 teams trended up
So division analysis has me at Division 1 being the toughest, I felt better.
Before I get to the predictions I'll explain the data used; ave wins, ave wins in $100m, champs, champs in $100m, +/- wins for $100m. Three round of eliminations in each division left me with the playoff teams in each.
The Predictions
Division 1 1st eliminations - the why
ShakeyBoomer - 81w $100 ave, -7.7 wins
Brent65 - 78.5w, -6.3 wins
reggie reigns - 80w, -5.3 wins
Division 2 1st eliminations - the why
Phenomenal - 75w $100 ave, -9.8 wins
DonFESQ - 82.5w, -6.3 wins. First hi rank to drop, $100 not his cup of tea
Jeliii - 82w, -3 wins
Division 3 1st eliminations - the why
ScumbyJr - 77w ave, -10 wins
Morpheus - 76.5w, -8 wins
rburgh - 83.5w, -3.3 wins
onto the 2nd eliminations...
Division 1 2nd eliminations - the why
Div 1 proves tough and teams that have shown success in $100m start to fall
cristano1- 86.5w ave, -0.7 wins
NYY82602 - 84.5w, -0.7 wins
MIKEARCHAMBAULT - 84w, +4.2 wins, even those 2 championships can't carry him out of this division.
Division 2 2nd eliminations - the why
BDWard - 88w ave, -1.2 wins
Boyer14 - 80.5w, -2.7 wins
Maudib1950 - 86w, -1.7 wins
Division 3 2nd eliminations - the why
dharmabums - 83.5w ave, -1.5 wins
The Last Druid - 86w, -0.5 wins
laboratory - 86w, -2 wins
Now the 3rd round of eliminations...
Division 1 3rd eliminations - the why
chuckwonup - 91w ave, +3 wins. most recent $100m season not up to par
doc x - 87.5w, +0.7 wins
Division 2 3rd eliminations - the why
Bitters - 86.5w ave, +0.8 wins
Rosie2167 - 85.5w, +2.5 wins. Can't keep up with the rest of the div
Division 3 3rd eliminations - the why
DodgerFan Always - 89.5w ave, +3 wins
Chemosh - 88w, +0.2 wins
The post season qualifiers...
Division 1 Playoff teams - the why
dukie98 - 90w ave, +0.8 wins. always at the top of the leagues, and I still cant get over only 5 events
Eveldrive - 85w, -2.5 wins. the only - wins to make the playoffs. Leans on the recent $100m championship.
Chuck1234 - 94.5w, +9 wins
BruceF - 90w, +2.2. Just knows the formula for success
Division 2 Playoff teams - the why
Roosky - 90w ave, +1.2 wins
nwelter - 93w, +10.7 wins. Huge win totals in $100m
karphenry - 87.5w, +4 wins
ksher58 - 99w, +11.3. Massive win totals in $100m
Division 3 Playoffs - the why
Hendrix08 - 87w ave, +4.2 wins
Semper Gumby - 90w, +3.2 wins
pacoboy - 92w, +6.8 wins.
hamilton_g - 92w, +7.3 wins
Semi winners...
Chuck1234
ksher58
pacoboy
Good luck all
R