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- Joined: Thu Aug 23, 2012 6:04 pm
- Location: SF Bay Area
joethejet wrote:GB, I'll have to give your post a good thought, but I'm pretty sure I've checked all of these angles before and found too many anomalies for it to be true. Remember, this is a random game. WHEN you score runs is a function of luck. You can argue that how many base runners you get isn't *as* random (although we know that is too) but how they get strung together and when they get strung together is random and lucky. There are no actual players here who are "clutch" (clutch hits notwithstanding) and "rise to the occasion." That just isn't the case. My record is a case in point how can you have such a good +/- ratio but lose all the one run games? Just doesn't make sense.
As I said, I'll read it more carefully as I don't have time tonight to do so.
Speaking of one run games, I played three more tonight (losing 2 of course). 42% of my games have been decided by one run and we're -13. GB you are +22 That's just crazy lucky and unlucky.
Spider I have to think about what you're saying. I have also feared that we are double counting on one runs and pythags, but I'm not sure we are and I'm not sure what you have proposed would be the answer if we are. Again, I will have to give it some thought.
Joe, even if any of my theories are right, there is no doubt that there is a lot of luck involved - that I have benefited from!