Mystery Card Observations

==> If your player gets injured on a HBP don't waste your time checking the card to see which year you have. 70-80% of injuries occur on HBP. Many players have HBP-INJ on every one of their cards.

==> 90% of the time you will get the middle card. Check me on this, but most of the time the "middle" card, or the one closest to the player's average, is what you get. Not very much of a mystery.

==> 90% of the time you will get the middle card. Check me on this, but most of the time the "middle" card, or the one closest to the player's average, is what you get. Not very much of a mystery.

Are you suggesting 90% of all players in all leagues are the middle card? I have not found that to be the case at all. For the teams I have checked (usually teams that did poorly/very well) I have found that I ended up with more than the expected 20% of my player cards on their worst year. And my better teams had greater than that 20% of primo seasons. That is what my experience's have been.

It also depends on what mystery card game you are playing. In the 80s game most injuries are on lomax results. Other games the HBP seems to be the majority of injuries. Another thing that helps out is HBP WITH NO injury. This also can only happen on the hitter's card and some hitters have cards with no HBP chance so you can eliminate those cards from consideration.

It also depends on what mystery card game you are playing. In the 80s game most injuries are on lomax results. Other games the HBP seems to be the majority of injuries. Another thing that helps out is HBP WITH NO injury. This also can only happen on the hitter's card and some hitters have cards with no HBP chance so you can eliminate those cards from consideration.

Either you are a genius or I am an idiot, but I hadn't thought of that yet.

(I sure hope you are a genius)

Also just because you have a HBP with no injury doesn't mean it can't be a card where the HBP only comes with an injury because it is possible to have no injury on an injury roll. It all depends on the 20 sided die roll after the possible injury occurance.

==> If your player gets injured on a HBP don't waste your time checking the card to see which year you have. 70-80% of injuries occur on HBP. Many players have HBP-INJ on every one of their cards.

==> 90% of the time you will get the middle card. Check me on this, but most of the time the "middle" card, or the one closest to the player's average, is what you get. Not very much of a mystery.

I disagree. While some hitters do have all HBP injuries, many (most?) have an exception or two. Also, 3-game injuries are a clue since it suggests the batter has >=600 ABs+BBs (no guarantee just likely).

As to your second point, I couldn't disagree more. There is an equal chance for each year.

I play mostly the 60's so my observations are based on that game. As for the middle card I'm going to back check my archived teams. I did tell you guys to check me on that.