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- Joined: Fri Aug 24, 2012 9:36 am
Knerrpool wrote:l.strether wrote:I'm not sure why repetitious "dice rolls" still surprise or bother people. If the system is working right, the 6 result has as much chance to repeat as it does to subsequently produce any of the other 5 numbers. So a repetition--like a repeated 6--is no less of a likely result than 6, 2, 5, 4....or some other non repeating string of results.
Actually, that is not correct. There is a significantly less likely chance of rolling four sixes in a row than rolling a 6 followed by three non-repeating numbers that are not a six.
Actually, it is correct. If the dice roll's chances are exactly equal, then it is always an equal chance the dice roll will repeat as a 6 as it would result in one of the other 5 numbers. The previous dice rolls would have no influence on the subsequent ones. So, a 6,6,6,6 result is as likely as any other particular string.
And I never said a 6,6,6,6 string was as likely as all other 4-digit strings combined in a continuing "dice-roll" system. I correctly said, as I said above, it is just as likely as all other particular 4-digit strings...and it is.