Explanation for this?

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Valen

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Explanation for this?

PostFri Jul 31, 2015 12:09 pm

I have scored 543 runs and allowed only 440 for a run differential of 103.
Yet my record is only 52-51. Another example of strat normalization and fixing of results or just bad luck?
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emart

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Re: Explanation for this?

PostFri Jul 31, 2015 1:10 pm

What's your record in 1-run games?
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nevdully's

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Re: Explanation for this?

PostFri Jul 31, 2015 3:43 pm

You win 10-2 and lose 4-3
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andycummings65

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Re: Explanation for this?

PostFri Jul 31, 2015 4:06 pm

The 1960 World Series. Yankees scored 55 runs, Pirates scored 27. Yankees more than doubled the runs Pirates scored.
Pirates win 4 games to 3.
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muellerinwesttn

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Re: Explanation for this?

PostFri Jul 31, 2015 5:03 pm

Sometimes i skimp on the back end of my relief corps. I notice that when i do the run differential suffers (from those cheap guys pitching 5 run innings when i'm already down by six.
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rburgh

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Re: Explanation for this?

PostFri Jul 31, 2015 5:43 pm

I have found that teams playing in bomber parks are prone to badly underperforming their Pythagorean W-L record. I suspect that's because they frequently get into the low-budget relievers at home, as mueller says. T=You could fix that by playing in Petco more often.
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Valen

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Re: Explanation for this?

PostFri Jul 31, 2015 6:24 pm

My park is in Toronto.

Standings:
NY Yankees 57 44 .564 - - 7-3 L2 30-17 27-27 7/30 @ TEX, L 6-7 7/31 @ CWS, 8:10 PM
Baltimore 51 50 .505 6.0 2.0 5-5 L1 30-19 21-31 7/30 vs DET, L 8-9 7/31 vs DET, 7:05 PM
Toronto 52 51 .505 6.0 2.0 6-4 W2 30-20 22-31 7/30 vs KC, W 5-2 7/31 vs KC, 7:07 PM
Tampa Bay 51 52 .495 7.0 3.0 4-6 L1 27-30 24-22 7/29 vs DET, L 1-2 7/31 @ BOS, 7:10 PM
Boston 45 58 .437 13.0 9.0 3-7 W1 25-27 20-31 7/30 vs CWS, W 8-2 7/31 vs TB, 7:10 PM

http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/standings/index.jsp

Offensive stats
5 Toronto Blue Jays AL 103 3475 543 915 202 10 135 524 342 721 56 18 .263 .331 .444 .775

http://mlb.mlb.com/stats/sortable.jsp#elem=%5Bobject+Object%5D&tab_level=child&click_text=Sortable+Team+hitting&game_type='R'&season=2015&season_type=ANY&league_code='MLB'&sectionType=st&statType=hitting&page=1&ts=1438380920507

Pitching:
22 Toronto Blue Jays AL 52 51 4.00 103 103 17 33 911.0 882 440 405 105 274 715 .254 1.27

http://mlb.mlb.com/stats/sortable.jsp#elem=%5Bobject+Object%5D&tab_level=child&click_text=Sortable+Team+pitching&game_type='R'&season=2015&season_type=ANY&league_code='MLB'&sectionType=st&statType=pitching&page=1&ts=1438380934358

Did not check record in 1 run games. Suppose it is on my site somewhere. :D

http://toronto.bluejays.mlb.com/index.jsp?c_id=tor&tcid=mm_mlb_sitelist

Not a Jay fan myself. But given the run differential and the additions could get interesting north of the border rest of season.
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Paul_Long71

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Re: Explanation for this?

PostSun Aug 02, 2015 1:06 am

The Blue Jays are currently 9-22 in one-run games this season.
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gkhd11a

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Re: Explanation for this?

PostSun Aug 02, 2015 5:45 pm

By Season Half
Split W L RS RA WP
First Half 45 46 486 404 .495
Second Half 8 6 70 49 .571
Extra-Innings
Split W L RS RA WP
9-Inning Games 49 47 517 412 .510
ExtraInning 4 5 39 41 .444
One-Run Games
Split W L RS RA WP
One Run 11 23 142 154 .324
Blowouts (5+ Runs)
Split W L RS RA WP
Blowout 22 6 219 107 .786
Inter-League Play
Split W L RS RA WP
Inter-Lg 9 6 82 44 .600

I see they are 11/23 in one run games and 22-6 in games decided by 5 or more runs, but I am pretty sure this is impossible so major league baseball must be normalizing results of games. I would like a full explanation from the league office on how this possibly could occur.
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Paul_Long71

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Re: Explanation for this?

PostSun Aug 02, 2015 8:16 pm

ok 11-23, guess I missed a few. I went to baseball-reference and counted game by game.

still pretty ugly in 1-run games....bullpen is weak at the end.
Last edited by Paul_Long71 on Mon Aug 03, 2015 3:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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