Likely 36??

I was playing with the ranking. I noticed there are a few things to consider, some managers have bigger potential to make points than others (more games in hand, teams currently in their 4th season, teams that have a very bad season to bury, etc)

Nothing scientific, of course, but here's a likely top 36, as of this evening (games played tuesday night not included):

Code: Select all

projected current    team      potential
ranking   ranking  manager  range rating
1   1.   MARCPELLETIER   409-421
2   2.   jmoore1966   385-397
3   4.   Jack377   379-391
4   2.   ScumbyJr   rating done at   372
5   10.   Terry101   369-381
6   27.   mpcharette   366   381
7   6.   kihoover   364   376
8   4.   Spider 67   rating done at   366
9   15.   milleram   363   375
10   19.   krazykat   362   374
11   6.   FoggyOne   rating done at   364
12   11.   bigmahon   361   373
13   11.   ycbill   361   373
14   13.   edgecitytx   360   372
15   28.   rudys raiders   360   372
16   8.   Dr_Marc   rating done at   362
17   9.   Zendoggy   rating likely done at   361
18   21.   mesquiton   356   368
19   13.   ehlekev1   rating done at   357
20   18.   keyzick   354   366
21   30.   uncle ny   354   366
22   25.   chris_s   352   367
23   52.   gbrookes   352   367
24   34.   wjb23   352   364
25   38.   bbfan   352   364
26   15.   karphenry   351   363
27   15.   freeman   rating done at   353
28   42.   Gilbo   350   362
29   21.   Al Hogg   350   362
30   43.   rickburr   349   361
31   31.   Knerrpool   349   361
32   32.   bbasebrawl   349   361
33   19.   Jeepdriver   rating done at   351
34   38.   Stoney18   348   360
35   44.   Gawgaped   348   360
36   21.   LongIsland4Ever   347   359
37   25.   hendrix08   rating likely done at   349
38   38.   waynick   346   358
39   28.   markyura   rating done at   347
40   46.   Brothersatm   344   356
41   52.   exwallman   343   355
42   36.   tmm6883   342   354
43   33.   bustanutt0   rating done at   342
44   41.   franky35   339   351
45   34.   pacoboy   rating done at   341
46   51.   bob711   338   350
47   62.   gracianbcq   338   350
48   21.   GoDucks   336   351
49   36.   stevep107   337   349
50   59.   Palerydr2.0   337   349
51   66.   jugslavin   336   348
52   66.   ute3333           335   347
53   55.   durantjerry   334   346
54.   44.   GARYCOOK   rating likely done at   335
55   52.   samh0711   332   344
56   62.   Delbird   331   343
57   64.   buzz082308   331   343
58   47.   2cityfan   329   344
59   47.   blue turtle   rating likely done at   333
60   49.   Phaedo   rating likely done at   332
61   49.   FALCON29   rating likely done at   332
62   64.   the splinter   328   340
63   57.   sebastian   328   340
64   55.   WJS6768   rating likely done at   329
65   57.   BG1217   rating likely done at   328
66   61.   visick   325   337
67   59.   salmonbellies   rating likely done at   327
68   66.   azcsuram   324   336
69   66.   ROGGIE   rating likely done at   323
70   66.   mbertolli   316   331


Here's how you read this. Terry sits currently in 10th spot (2nd column). If he plays roughly .500, his rating is projected to be 5th (1st column). His potential varies from 369 to 381 (based on .425 and .600 win pct)


Edit: removed jr_shark frm the list and corrcted the ranking

GBrookes is the one who makes the bigger jump: he's not in the top 50, but he's likely to finish in the top 25, maybe top 15.

A few players currently in the top 36 are not likely to gain anymore points. If Hendrix makes it, it's gonna be by a thin razor...

J_Pav,

I included JR_Shark, with the assumption that it's only by mistake that his 5th season doesn't show up. Still, he's not likely to finish in the top 36.

Not the best year from stevep...his current 36th spot is not likely to be enough...unless he pulls a miracle...

Shark's not eligible for points in Event 5. No mistake there.

Well, hope you're right, Marc! Feels like it is going to be very close for my team to get in.

Yeah, you're in a group of managers waiting to see how the current teams will perform.

ehlekev1 rating done at 357
freeman rating done at 353
Jeepdriver rating done at 351
hendrix08 rating likely done at 349
markyura rating done at 347

I believe that 350 is likely to be the cut-off for the top 36, so I think you will make the cut....

Not sure how I'm likely done, unless I run into a losing streak in event 5, which I should end up around .500. That would allow me to drop my 76 win team from an earlier event.

Yes, hendrix you look safe to me.

Good catch, hendrix, I probably just made a mistake.

Like I said, I did this fast.

So if Hendrix makes it, I call Jeepdriver in the hot seat. His current team (62-73) is not going to surpass his previous (81-81) team. What hurt Jeep is that he only got two wins out of playoffs. Still, with no losing season and a total of 351 points, I think he should have enough.