NLD 40 - Over the hill but picking up steam!

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BigAlric

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Re: NLD 40 - Over the hill but picking up steam!

PostMon Nov 16, 2015 5:50 am

Underperforming is the slogan of our season. Underperforming in your ratings, JTJ. Underperforming in SOM's expected W/L (7 games under!). We are 16-24 in 1run games, but this is probably only one side of the problem. Most probably I just 'overbuyed' defense, so that my offense is too weak to compete. In other words, bad managing. :oops:
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Spider 67

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Re: NLD 40 - Over the hill but picking up steam!

PostMon Nov 16, 2015 9:11 am

Our NLD leagues consistently have good fielding pct. ratings. Seems like most of us care more about good defense than most competitors.

No real surprises on my team vs. the ratings. I have felt all season long that they are performing a bit better than expected (not wildly so) and the ratings bear that out. The Renegade Hawks and In The Gap are tied in the standings and equal in the ratings.

Nice work, JTJ!
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joethejet

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Re: NLD 40 - Over the hill but picking up steam!

PostMon Nov 16, 2015 6:43 pm

Big A, yeah, I didn't spend much time analyzing the numbers actually. Now that you point it out, the West, with the continuing exception of GB, is all .500 or below in one run games. Interesting to note that GB is underperforming his rating AND is very good in one run games. That doesn't happen often. Interesting to note that he has just been BRUTAL out of his division. +10 intra division and -17 out! :shock: :o The rest of the west is > .500 inter division.

(BTW, I just noticed that I sorted the main ratings by D, not overall. I have updated that)

Nice work, JTJ!
Thanks Spider, but it's really just how the ratings came out this time. I didn't do anything different.

Some other thoughts now that I have some time.

east - Would apparently be a three way race between everyone but AT. The ratings don't really have a reason for his being so close his O and D are pretty much right on track. Probably has good timing. As for MG having a big hill to climb, his pitching has been a bit weaker than expected, but I think it's a combination of poor one run record and Hawk and Spider doing slightly better than expected. Hawk is +7 in one run. Spider has been a very good home team. I probably wont' get around to doing the park-by-park ratings, but I'll try to get to the "luck factors".

Central - Ratings have JTJ as the best team by a fair distance over Smokey and much higher than Semper and in a different universe than Dale. That said, Smokey's team is built for Coors (hence his +12 home and -1 road recs). Semper's one run record have hurt him, it's interesting to note he's about right for the ratings. Again, not usual.

West - Ratings would expect a close race (and it is) but would expect good out of division records (3 teams above .500, but not as good as ratings would say). As I pointed out in my earlier post, I believe this is mostly because both GB and Big A are very one dimensional. Not that this doesn't work sometimes, because it does, but it is more likely to have variations from the ratings than does a more balanced team. Interesting to note that the three top D teams are in the West. The biggest surprise here is that JMP is right there. Not really expected, but the ratings would more expect the other teams to be much better than for him to be right around .500.

Ratings would say that Spider and Hawk will battle it out to the end in the East, JTJ will pull away from Smoke (as long as Smokey doesn't "smoke" in his own park) and that the West will be a three-way battle with JMP falling off the pace. Personally, looking at the four teams I would expect Stoney to emerge from the battle, but the ratings are close at the top. As for the WC, The second place team from the West will have the best remaining rating, but the central loser (JTJ or Smoke) should be right there. The ratings would not expect the WC to come from the East especially with the balance of the four team's ratings. JTJ and Smoke *should* be helped in the WC race by the poor rating of Dale's team once we hit the stretch run of all intra-division games.
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joethejet

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Re: NLD 40 - Over the hill but picking up steam!

PostThu Nov 19, 2015 2:49 am

Wow, no one else has a single comment?? :( :cry:
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BigAlric

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Re: NLD 40 - Over the hill but picking up steam!

PostFri Nov 20, 2015 6:25 am

Sorry, I am just too frustrated to comment. 9 under in 1run games, 7 under SOM's exp. W/L. Terrible. :shock:
Last edited by BigAlric on Fri Nov 20, 2015 5:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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joethejet

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Re: NLD 40 - Over the hill but picking up steam!

PostFri Nov 20, 2015 3:26 pm

BigAlric wrote:Sorry, I am just too frustrated to commet. 9 under in 1run games, 7 under SOM's exp. W/L. Terrible. :shock:



Oh come on Big A, a good rant is always fun to read. Lord knows I've posted my share here! ;) :lol: Let it loose, you'll feel better. :mrgreen:

The funny thing is, with all the balance in the West, you're just one hot streak away from a playoff spot! :shock:
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Stoney18

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Re: NLD 40 - Over the hill but picking up steam!

PostFri Nov 20, 2015 4:30 pm

Have to admit I expected a little more run scoring out of this group. 19 clutch outs may have something to do with that.

But then I have that intimidating hitter Barney who'se tied for the league lead in intentional walks. Talk about the most feared .181 hitter in history
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Spider 67

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Re: NLD 40 - Over the hill but picking up steam!

PostSun Nov 22, 2015 8:37 am

In game 3 against the Blind Octopus it looked like Sipp was going to get a blown save. After allowing a run and with one out, men on first and third, S. Perez lines to Harrison at third for a Triple Play. Some days you're just lucky. :shock:
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joethejet

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Re: NLD 40 - Over the hill but picking up steam!

PostMon Nov 23, 2015 3:26 am

Stoney18 wrote:Have to admit I expected a little more run scoring out of this group. 19 clutch outs may have something to do with that.



19 clutch outs sounds like a lot. clearly it has something to do with your offensive output.
But then I have that intimidating hitter Barney who'se tied for the league lead in intentional walks. Talk about the most feared .181 hitter in history


LOL. Atta boy Hal!

In game 3 against the Blind Octopus it looked like Sipp was going to get a blown save. After allowing a run and with one out, men on first and third, S. Perez lines to Harrison at third for a Triple Play. Some days you're just lucky.


You're not kidding! Holy Smokes. :? :o :shock:
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BigAlric

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Re: NLD 40 - Over the hill but picking up steam!

PostMon Nov 23, 2015 8:51 am

We are on a nice little winning streak :D, but this is more a fluke than anything else. Seeing my poor vs. DIV record, we will probably be pounded again when the schedule switches back to intra-division games. :o
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