- Posts: 387
- Joined: Tue Aug 19, 2014 1:40 am
Throwing in my 1 cent. Think Steve F is correct on what the changed charts will reflect.
From Garcia's blog:
"Previously any reading with a ballpark chance was just ignored. This was causing some players to show on-base and power numbers to be extremely low compared to their actual value.
Now, the bar charts will count the reading that will be replaced by the ballpark chance. For example, on Mickey Mantle's 1956 card (shown here), 2-8 and 2-10 vs LHP will now count as HR 1-8. This adds 3.2 more HR chances to that side of the card."
The key words to me are "Previously any reading with a ballpark chance was just ignored." Then later "Now, the bar charts will count the reading that will be replaced by the ballpark chance."
Previously the ballpark chances were not used at all. Now where a ballpark chance is shown, they are using the numbers shown on the card to calculate the chances (of a home run in the Mantle example.) If Mantle 61 was used as an example,
a 2-10 against LHP would include the chances of a home run based on a subsequent 1-17 "roll."
Will leave the analyses of what the change means in playing the game to the many knowledgeable Strat experts here.
From Garcia's blog:
"Previously any reading with a ballpark chance was just ignored. This was causing some players to show on-base and power numbers to be extremely low compared to their actual value.
Now, the bar charts will count the reading that will be replaced by the ballpark chance. For example, on Mickey Mantle's 1956 card (shown here), 2-8 and 2-10 vs LHP will now count as HR 1-8. This adds 3.2 more HR chances to that side of the card."
The key words to me are "Previously any reading with a ballpark chance was just ignored." Then later "Now, the bar charts will count the reading that will be replaced by the ballpark chance."
Previously the ballpark chances were not used at all. Now where a ballpark chance is shown, they are using the numbers shown on the card to calculate the chances (of a home run in the Mantle example.) If Mantle 61 was used as an example,
a 2-10 against LHP would include the chances of a home run based on a subsequent 1-17 "roll."
Will leave the analyses of what the change means in playing the game to the many knowledgeable Strat experts here.