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- Joined: Fri Aug 24, 2012 11:21 am
OK, I read this today, and I have a hard time believing that any baseball team, even the very best ever assembled, could possibly go a full 162 game season and never lose once. But this is the kind of esoteric "what-if" simulation stuff that Strat-O-Matic is supposed to be able to answer. We don't have the 1997 season in the online game referenced in this article, but we do have the 1996 and 1999 seasons if somebody had the desire to simulate a dream team vs a bunch of "normal" teams, it might be possible to see how many games they could win in a simulated season. And of course we have the greatest individual seasons ever in the ATG set, but assembling a league composed of actual rosters for the all-time super team to compete against would be problematic. I think it would be possible to do something like this with the CD-ROM game season sets, right?
In the end, I think the best possible roster would never come close to 150 wins let alone 162 in this sim. It would be undone by injuries, boneheaded managerial moves by the computer manager, black box stuff like home field advantage and normalization, ballpark homers, and the tendency in this game for pitchers sent in to close out the win giving up 4 or 5 runs in the ninth or extra innings.
The author seems to assume WAR is the be-all and end-all for picking the best All-Star team, but I'm sure there would be other metrics such as OPS+ that one of us could use instead. Anyway, it's interesting to read and think about in the context of historical simulations like this. Here's the link to it at the Five Thirty Eight website:
Could an All-Star team go 162-0?
In the end, I think the best possible roster would never come close to 150 wins let alone 162 in this sim. It would be undone by injuries, boneheaded managerial moves by the computer manager, black box stuff like home field advantage and normalization, ballpark homers, and the tendency in this game for pitchers sent in to close out the win giving up 4 or 5 runs in the ninth or extra innings.
The author seems to assume WAR is the be-all and end-all for picking the best All-Star team, but I'm sure there would be other metrics such as OPS+ that one of us could use instead. Anyway, it's interesting to read and think about in the context of historical simulations like this. Here's the link to it at the Five Thirty Eight website:
Could an All-Star team go 162-0?